Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket and Kalshi, no betting.

All categories 0 0 (0 bps) ↓ 1,000 ↓ 10,000 ↑ 100,000 ↑ 1,000,000 100-110mm 100-119 <100mm 10 (250 bps) ↑ 105,000 <1.0T 1.0T–1.2T ↑ 110,000 1.10–1.14ºC 110-120mm <1.10ºC 11 (275 bps) ↑ 115,000 1.15–1.19ºC 115-139 ↓ 1,200 ↑ 120,000 1.20–1.24ºC 120-139 12+ (300+ bps) 1.25–1.29ºC 1 (25 bps) >1.29ºC 1.2T–1.4T ↑ 130,000 140 ↓ 1,400 ↑ 140,000 140-159 140-164 1.4T–1.6T ↓ 15,000 ↑ 150,000 ↓ 1,600 1,600 ↑ 160,000 160-179 165-189 1.6T–1.8T 1,700 ↑ 170,000 ↓ 1,800 1,800 ↑ 180,000 180-199 1.8T–2.0T 1,900 ↑ 190,000 190-214 1M+ 1st hottest <20 20+ 2000 ↓ 2,000 2,000 ↓ 20,000 ↑ 200,000 2,000-2,100 200-219 $200M 20-39 2.0T+ 2,100 215-239 2200 2,200 220-239 2,300 240+ 2400 2,400 240-259 2,500 ↓ 25,000 ↑ 250,000 2 (50 bps) 25 bps decrease 25 bps increase ↑ 2,600 2,600 260-279 26°C or higher ↑ 2,800 280-299 2nd hottest ↑ 3,000 ↓ 30,000 300-319 ↑ 3,200 320-339 ↑ 3,400 340-359 ↓ 35,000 ↑ 3,600 360-379 3 (75 bps) ↑ 3,800 380-399 3rd hottest <40 40+ ↓ 400 ↑ 4,000 ↓ 40,000 400-419 $400M 40-59 40-64 4 (100 bps) 420-439 440-459 ↓ 45,000 460-479 480-499 4th or lower 500+ ↑ 5,000 ↓ 5,000 ↓ 50,000 ↑ 500,000 50+ bps decrease 50+ bps increase $50M 5 (125 bps) ↓ 55,000 60+ ↓ 600 ↓ 60,000 60-79 6 (150 bps) ↓ 64,000 ↓ 65,000 65-89 ↓ 66,000 66,000 <68,000 ↓ 68,000 68,000 68,000-70,000 ↓ 69,000 7 ↓ 70,000 70,000 70,000-72,000 ↓ 71,000 7 (175 bps) ↓ 72,000 72,000 72,000-74,000 ↓ 72,500 ↓ 73,000 ↓ 74,000 74,000 74,000-76,000 ↑ 75,000 $755 76,000 76,000-78,000 ↑ 77,000 ↑ 77,500 ↑ 78,000 78,000 78,000-80,000 ↑ 79,000 8+ 80+ ↓ 800 ↑ 80,000 80,000 80,000-82,000 80-90 80-99 ↑ 81,000 ↑ 82,000 82,000 82,000-84,000 8 (200 bps) ↑ 83,000 ↑ 84,000 84,000 84,000-86,000 85% ↑ 85,000 >86,000 ↑ 86,000 86,000 ↑ 88,000 88,000 90% ↑ 90,000 90-114 ↑ 92,000 9 (225 bps) ↑ 95,000 Abbas Araghchi Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani Ahmad Vahidi AI / Artificial Intelligence Aiemann Zahabi Alexander Albon Alexander Volkanovski Alexandre Pantoja Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Algeria Ali Asghar Hejazi Ali Motahari Alireza Arafi Alphabet Amazon América de Cali Amir Ohana Amorim to win by KO/TKO? Andrew Yang Andy Beshear Anthropic Any Player Penta Kill Any Player Quadra Kill Any Player Rampage Any Player Ultra Kill Apple Argentina Arsenal FC Arvid Lindblad Ass August 31 Australia Austria Avengers: Doomsday Avigdor Lieberman Ayelet Shaked Barack Obama Barcelona SC Before 2027 Belgium Benjamin Netanyahu Benny Gantz Bernie Sanders Beto O’Rourke Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia-Herzegovina Both Teams Beat Roshan Both Teams Destroy Barracks Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors Both Teams Slay a Dragon Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor Both Teams to Score Brazil Brian Kemp Broadcom by December 31, 2026 by June 30, 2026 Byron Donalds ByteDance CA Boca Juniors Canada Candace Owens Cape Verde Carlos Sainz Jr. CA Tigre CDP Junior FC CD Universidad Católica Charles Leclerc Charlie / Kirk 5+ times Chelsea Clinton Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5 Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5 Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5 Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5 Chris Murphy Club Alianza Atlético Club Cerro Porteño Colombia Company A Company B Company C Company D Company E Company F Company G Company H Company I Company J Company K Company L Company M Company N Company O Company P Company Q Company R Company S Company T Completed Match Congo DR Cory Booker Cory Sandhagen Croatia Crusaders Cruzeiro EC Crypto CS Cristal CSyD Macará Curaçao Czechia Databricks De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5 De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 December 31 December 31 December 31, 2026 December 31, 2027 Deiveson Figueiredo Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 0.5 Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5 Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5 Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 Discord Donald Trump Donald Trump Jr. Draw Draw (América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará) Draw (Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia) Draw (CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica) Draw (CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético) Draw (Club Cerro Porteño vs. CS Cristal) Draw (Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC) Draw (Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) Draw (Egypt vs. Russia) Draw (IR Iran vs. Gambia) Draw (Ismaily SC vs. Pharco FC) Draw (Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC) Draw (Nice vs. Saint-Etienne) Draw (Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC) Draw (Petrojet SC vs. El Gouna SC) Draw (Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar) Draw (Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt) Draw (SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC) Draw (Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Wadi Degla SC) Driver A Driver B Driver C Driver D Driver E Driver F Driver G Driver H Driver I Dune: Messiah Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson Economy Ecuador Egypt El Gouna SC Elise Stefanik Elon Musk Ends in Daytime England Enrichment of Uranium Eric Trump Erika Kirk Esteban Ocon FBI February 28 Fernando Alonso Fighter A Fighter B Fighter C Fighter D Fighter E Fighter F Fighter G Fighter H Fighter I Fighter J Fighter K Fighter L Fighter M Fighter N Fighter O Fighter P Fighter Q Fighter R Fighter S Fighter T Fighter U Fighter V Fighter W Fighter X Fighter Y Fighter Z Fight to Go the Distance? Fight won by KO/TKO? Fight won by submission? FK Bodø/Glimt France Franco Colapinto Frank Donovan Gabriel Bortoleto Gadi Eizenkot Gambia Gavin Newsom George Clooney George Russell Germany Ghana Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel Gideon Sa’ar Gina Raimondo Glenn Youngkin Graham Platner Greg Abbott Gretchen Whitmer Grigor Dimitrov Haiti Hassan Khomeini Hassan Rouhani Hassan Shariatmadari Henry to win by KO/TKO? Hillary Clinton Hunter Biden Hurricanes Iran Iraq Ireland IR Iran Isack Hadjar Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 0.5 Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 1.5 Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5 Ismaily SC Israel Katz Itamar Ben Gvir Ivanka Trump Ivory Coast Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5 Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5 Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5 Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5 Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5 Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5 Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 James Talarico Jamie Dimon January 31 Japan Jared McCain: Assists O/U 0.5 Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 0.5 Jared Polis Jasmine Crockett J.B. Pritzker JB Pritzker J.D. Vance JD Vance Joe Kent John Fetterman John Thune Jon Ossoff Jon Stewart Jordan Josh Hawley Josh Shapiro Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5 Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5 Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 July 31 June 15 June 3 June 30 June 30, 2026 June 7 Kamala Harris Katie Britt Kimi Antonelli Kim Kardashian Kraken Kristi Noem Lance Stroll Lando Norris LeBron James Lewis Hamilton Liam Lawson Liaoning Tieren FC Liz Cheney Lookboonmee to win by KO/TKO? Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5 Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 0.5 Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5 Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Marco Rubio Marjorie Taylor Greene Mark Cuban Mark Kelly Maryam Rajavi Masoud Pezeshkian Massoud Rajavi Matt Gaetz Max Verstappen May 24 May 25 May 26 May 27 May 28 May 29 May 30 May 31 May 31, 2026 Mexico Michael Michelle Obama Microsoft Mike Pence Minions & Monsters Mitchell to win by KO/TKO? Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf Mohammad Khatami Mohsen Araki Mojtaba Khamenei Morocco Moshe Feiglin Mostafa Pourmohammadi Movie E Movie G Movie I Movie K Movie M Movie O MrBeast Muhammad Mirbaqiri Mustafa Hijri Naftali Bennett Nasir Hosseini Navid Shomali Netherlands NewJeans New York Knicks New Zealand Nice Nico Hülkenberg Nikki Haley Nir Barkat No change No Head of State No IPO before 2028 North Macedonia Norway NRFI NVIDIA o Oil Sanction Relief Oklahoma City Thunder Oliver Bearman OpenAI Oprah Winfrey Oscar Piastri Other p Panama Paraguay Paris Saint-Germain FC Payton Talbott Pedro Munhoz Perplexity AI Person AA Person AB Person AC Person AD Person AE Person AF Person AG Person AH Person AI Person AJ Person AK Person AL Person AM Person AN Person AO Person AP Person AQ Person AR Person AS Person AT Person AU Person AV Person AW Person AX Person AY Person AZ Person BA Person BB Person BC Person BD Person BE Person BF Person BG Person BH Person BI Person BJ Person BK Person BL Person BM Person BN Person BO Person BP Person BQ Person BR Person BS Person BT Person BU Person BV Person BW Person BX Person BY Person BZ Person CA Person CB Person CC Person CD Person CE Person CF Person CG Person CH Person CI Person CJ Person CK Person CL Person CM Person CN Person CO Person CP Person CQ Person CR Person CS Person CT Person CU Person CV Person CW Person CX Person CY Person CZ Person DA Person DB Person F Person G Person H Person I Person J Person K Person L Person M Person N Person O Person P Person Q Person R Person S Person T Person U Person V Person W Person X Person Y Person Z Pete Buttigieg Pete Hegseth Petrojet SC Petr Yan Pharco FC Phil Murphy Pierre Gasly Placeholder A Placeholder AA Placeholder AB Placeholder AC Placeholder AD Placeholder AE Placeholder AF Placeholder AG Placeholder AH Placeholder AI Placeholder AJ Placeholder AK Placeholder AL Placeholder AM Placeholder AN Placeholder AO Placeholder AP Placeholder AQ Placeholder AR Placeholder AS Placeholder AT Placeholder AU Placeholder AV Placeholder AW Placeholder AX Placeholder AY Placeholder AZ Placeholder B Placeholder BA Placeholder BB Placeholder BC Placeholder BD Placeholder BE Placeholder BF Placeholder BG Placeholder BH Placeholder C Placeholder D Placeholder E Placeholder F Placeholder G Placeholder H Placeholder I Placeholder J Placeholder K Placeholder L Placeholder M Placeholder N Placeholder O Placeholder P Placeholder Q Placeholder R Placeholder S Placeholder T Placeholder U Placeholder V Placeholder W Placeholder X Placeholder Y Placeholder Z Politics Pop Culture Portugal Project Hail Mary q Qatar r Rahm Emanuel Rand Paul Raphael Warnock Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Republic of Ireland Revolut Reza Pahlavi Reza Pirzadeh Richard Grenell Ricky Simón Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Rob Font Ro Khanna Ron DeSantis Rosenborg BK Roy Cooper Ruben Gallego Russia s Sadegh Larijani Sadegh Mahsouli Saeed Jalili Saint-Etienne San Antonio Spurs Sarah Huckabee Sanders Saudi Arabia Saudi Aramco Science & Tech Scotland Scream 7 Sean O'Malley Senegal SE Palmeiras September 30 Sergio Perez Sergio Pérez Seyed Hossein Mousavian Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Shanghai Haigang FC SHEIN Song Yadong South Africa South Korea SpaceX Spain Spider-Man: Brand New Day Sports Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu Stephen A. Smith Stephen Smith Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5 Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5 Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5 Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 Steve Bannon Stripe Sweden Switzerland t Tala'ea El Gaish SC Team AG Team AH Team AI Team AJ Team AK Team AL Team AM Team AN Team AO Ted Cruz Tesla The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping The Odyssey The Super Mario Galaxy Movie Thomas Massie Tim Walz Tom Brady Toy Story 5 Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz Tucker Carlson Tulsi Gabbard Tunisia Turkiye Twice u Umar Nurmagomedov Unfreeze Iranian Assets Uruguay USA Uzbekistan Valtteri Bottas Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5 Vivek Ramaswamy Wadi Degla SC Waymo Wes Moore Wicked: For Good World Wuthering Heights xAI Yair Golan Yair Lapid Yariv Levin Yoaz Hendel Yossi Cohen Zohran Mamdani

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24% Yes No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10% Yes No

+43 more outcomes

$1168.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 33% Yes No
Marco Rubio 26% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$645.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 18% Yes No
Gavin Newsom 16% Yes No

+34 more outcomes

$606.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

December 31 78% Yes No
July 31 55% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$214.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 57% Yes No
June 30 4% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$121.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 40% Yes No
Flávio Bolsonaro 29% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$90.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro 67% Yes No
Delcy Rodríguez 20% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$89.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 26% Yes No
Édouard Philippe 16% Yes No

+34 more outcomes

$84.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Keiko Fujimori 80% Yes No
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 20% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$57.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Fed Decision in June?

No change 98% Yes No
25 bps decrease 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$48.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran closes its airspace by...?

June 30 22% Yes No
June 15 17% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$47.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$45.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Chong Won-oh 72% Yes No
Oh Se-hoon 27% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$43.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

July 31 82% Yes No
June 30 68% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$41.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$36.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$33.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 83%
Yes 17%
$32.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Colombia Presidential Election

Abelardo de la Espriella 64% Yes No
Candidate M 50% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$32.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$31.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Starmer out by...?

December 31 68% Yes No
July 31 30% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$30.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 68% Yes No
Tom Steyer 20% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$28.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

June 30 62% Yes No
June 15 54% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$23.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31 22% Yes No
June 30 4% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$23.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

What will happen before GTA VI?

GPT-6 released 57% Yes No
New Playboi Carti Album 53% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$22.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$19.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 10% Yes No
Donald Trump 8% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$19.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

June 30 76% Yes No
June 7 58% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$16.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran leadership change by...?

December 31 28% Yes No
June 30 7% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$15.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31 49% Yes No
July 31 39% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$12.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Naftali Bennett 38% Yes No
Benjamin Netanyahu 36% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$12.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$11.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei 70% Yes No
Reza Pahlavi 6% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$10.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$10.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER) 56% Yes No
New People (NL) 32% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$9.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Mette Frederiksen 90% Yes No
Lars Løkke Rasmussen 3% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$9.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$9.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$8.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Andy Burnham 53% Yes No
No Next PM in 2026 26% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$8.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

No meeting by June 30 94% Yes No
Russia 1% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$8.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

Oil Sanction Relief 14% Yes No
Unfreeze Iranian Assets 10% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$7.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Pakistan 53% Yes No
No Meeting by June 30 29% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Iván Cepeda Castro 76% Yes No
Abelardo de la Espriella 25% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$7.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Elon Musk # tweets May 22 - May 29, 2026?

180-199 99% Yes No
200-219 1% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$7.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 46% Yes No
R Senate, D House 32% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$7.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Fed Decision in July?

No change 92% Yes No
25 bps increase 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$7.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party 80% Yes No
Republican Party 20% Yes No
$6.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

4 40% Yes No
5 23% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$6.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

3.75% 43% Yes No
4.0% 21% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$6.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$6.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

December 31, 2026 80% Yes No
September 30, 2026 66% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$6.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

June 30 14% Yes No
May 31 1% Yes No
$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump out as President by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$5.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?

840-879 65% Yes No
800-839 17% Yes No

+25 more outcomes

$5.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner

Choo Mi-ae 97% Yes No
Yoo Seung-min 7% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$4.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Janez Janša 98% Yes No
Anže Logar 1% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$4.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass 58% Yes No
Nithya Raman 18% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$3.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 48%
Yes 52%
$3.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro 61% Yes No
Renan Santos 18% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump out as President by May 31?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Israel closes its airspace by...?

June 30 14% Yes No
June 15 11% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$3.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

No 60%
Yes 40%
$3.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

September 30 14% Yes No
June 30 5% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$3.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Graham Platner 99% Yes No
Janet Mills 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$3.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$3.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Incheon Mayoral Election Winner

Park Chan-dae 96% Yes No
Yoo Jeong-bok 4% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 95% Yes No
People Power Party (PPP) 2% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Berlin State Election Winner

CDU 30% Yes No
AfD 25% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?

160-179 21% Yes No
180-199 20% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47 28% Yes No
50 16% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Party 54% Yes No
Democratic Party 46% Yes No
$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 2027 80% Yes No
Qatar / UAE 4% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

June 30 8% Yes No
May 31 1% Yes No
$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Bert Mizusawa 53% Yes No
Kim Farington 30% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics