Open
Politics
Polymarket
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$645.3m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$645.3M Vol.
J.D. Vance
33% market probability
33%
Yes 33%
+67 / −33
No 67%
+33 / −67
Marco Rubio
26% market probability
26%
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
No 74%
+26 / −74
Tucker Carlson
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Ron DeSantis
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Thomas Massie
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Donald Trump
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Donald Trump Jr.
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Glenn Youngkin
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Tulsi Gabbard
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Vivek Ramaswamy
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Ivanka Trump
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Ted Cruz
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Elon Musk
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Rand Paul
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Marjorie Taylor Greene
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Tom Brady
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Brian Kemp
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Greg Abbott
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Josh Hawley
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Katie Britt
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Nikki Haley
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Steve Bannon
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Byron Donalds
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Kim Kardashian
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Joe Kent
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Eric Trump
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Erika Kirk
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
John Thune
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Matt Gaetz
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Pete Hegseth
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Elise Stefanik
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Mike Pence
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Kristi Noem
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
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