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Sports
Polymarket
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$1.3b Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$1264.4M Vol.
Spain
17% market probability
17%
Yes 17%
+83 / −17
No 83%
+17 / −83
France
17% market probability
17%
Yes 17%
+83 / −17
No 83%
+17 / −83
England
11% market probability
11%
Yes 11%
+89 / −11
No 89%
+11 / −89
Portugal
10% market probability
10%
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
No 90%
+10 / −90
Brazil
9% market probability
9%
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
No 91%
+9 / −91
Argentina
9% market probability
9%
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
No 91%
+9 / −91
Germany
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
Netherlands
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Norway
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Japan
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Belgium
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Colombia
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Morocco
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
USA
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Mexico
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Uruguay
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Switzerland
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Croatia
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Ecuador
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Turkiye
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Senegal
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Sweden
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Austria
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Canada
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Egypt
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ghana
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Czechia
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Paraguay
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Scotland
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ivory Coast
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
South Korea
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Bosnia-Herzegovina
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Iran
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Algeria
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Tunisia
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Australia
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Iraq
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Haiti
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Qatar
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Jordan
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Panama
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Congo DR
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Curaçao
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Cape Verde
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Uzbekistan
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
New Zealand
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Saudi Arabia
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
South Africa
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
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Public forecast history
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