Open
Politics
Polymarket
Presidential Election Winner 2028
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$606.9m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$606.9M Vol.
JD Vance
18% market probability
18%
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
No 82%
+18 / −82
Gavin Newsom
16% market probability
16%
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
No 84%
+16 / −84
Marco Rubio
14% market probability
14%
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
No 86%
+14 / −86
Kamala Harris
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
Jon Ossoff
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Josh Shapiro
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Tucker Carlson
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Pete Buttigieg
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Donald Trump
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Ron DeSantis
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Thomas Massie
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Andy Beshear
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
JB Pritzker
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Donald Trump Jr.
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Jamie Dimon
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Elon Musk
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Ro Khanna
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Ivanka Trump
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Stephen Smith
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Greg Abbott
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
James Talarico
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Michelle Obama
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Wes Moore
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Nikki Haley
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Tulsi Gabbard
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Glenn Youngkin
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Zohran Mamdani
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Vivek Ramaswamy
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Gretchen Whitmer
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Tim Walz
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Eric Trump
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
LeBron James
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Pete Hegseth
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Kim Kardashian
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
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