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F1 Constructors' Champion Xi Jinping out before 2027? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? US strike on Mexico by...? Trump out as President before 2027? MLB: 2026 National League Champion Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? NBA: LeBron James Next Team What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Largest Company end of December 2026? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 US military action against Cuba by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? LCK 2026 Season Winner Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
Open Politics Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election

Top outcomes

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 60%
Flávio Bolsonaro 24%
Renan Santos 10%
Ronaldo Caiado 1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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$112.4M Vol. Closes Oct 4, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$112.4m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$112.4M Vol.

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

60% market probability

60%

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0 / 2,000

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Flávio Bolsonaro

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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Renan Santos

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Ronaldo Caiado

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Jair Bolsonaro

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Michelle Bolsonaro

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Camilo Santana

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Romeu Zema

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Fernando Haddad

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Geraldo Alckmin

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Tereza Cristina

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Eduardo Bolsonaro

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Tarcisio de Freitas

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Aldo Rebelo

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Eduardo Leite

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Helder Barbalho

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Ratinho Júnior

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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