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Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Next French Presidential Election Trump out as President before 2027? World Cup: Nation to Reach Final Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Putin out as President of Russia by...? US military action against Cuba by...? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? MLB: 2026 National League Champion Israel closes its airspace by...?
Open Crypto Polymarket

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.

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$4.4M Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

Live odds

No 94%
Yes 6%

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Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

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Market closes Jan 1, 2027

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