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Economy
Polymarket
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Top outcomes
NVIDIA
76%
Apple
14%
Alphabet
8%
SpaceX
1%
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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$6.5M Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$6.5m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$6.5M Vol.
NVIDIA
76% market probability
76%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 76%
+24 / −76
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 24%
+76 / −24
Apple
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on Apple
Explain your No on Apple
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alphabet
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Alphabet
Explain your No on Alphabet
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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SpaceX
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on SpaceX
Explain your No on SpaceX
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Microsoft
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Microsoft
Explain your No on Microsoft
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tesla
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tesla
Explain your No on Tesla
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Amazon
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Amazon
Explain your No on Amazon
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Saudi Aramco
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Saudi Aramco
Explain your No on Saudi Aramco
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Public forecast history
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