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Economy
Polymarket
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Top outcomes
NVIDIA
69%
Apple
29%
Alphabet
2%
Microsoft
0%
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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$8.5M Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$8.5m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$8.5M Vol.
NVIDIA
69% market probability
69%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 69%
+31 / −69
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 31%
+69 / −31
Apple
29% market probability
29%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 29%
+71 / −29
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 71%
+29 / −71
Explain your Yes on Apple
Explain your No on Apple
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alphabet
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Alphabet
Explain your No on Alphabet
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Microsoft
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Microsoft
Explain your No on Microsoft
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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SpaceX
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on SpaceX
Explain your No on SpaceX
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Saudi Aramco
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Saudi Aramco
Explain your No on Saudi Aramco
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Amazon
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Amazon
Explain your No on Amazon
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Tesla
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tesla
Explain your No on Tesla
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Public forecast history
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