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Polymarket
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top outcomes
$50M
88%
$100M
82%
$200M
70%
$300M
60%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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$6.3M Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2028
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$6.3m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$6.3M Vol.
$50M
88% market probability
88%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 88%
+12 / −88
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 12%
+88 / −12
$100M
82% market probability
82%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 82%
+18 / −82
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 18%
+82 / −18
Explain your Yes on $100M
Explain your No on $100M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$200M
70% market probability
70%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 70%
+30 / −70
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 30%
+70 / −30
Explain your Yes on $200M
Explain your No on $200M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$300M
60% market probability
60%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 60%
+40 / −60
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 40%
+60 / −40
Explain your Yes on $300M
Explain your No on $300M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$400M
57% market probability
57%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 57%
+43 / −57
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 43%
+57 / −43
Explain your Yes on $400M
Explain your No on $400M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$500M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on $500M
Explain your No on $500M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$600M
42% market probability
42%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 42%
+58 / −42
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 58%
+42 / −58
Explain your Yes on $600M
Explain your No on $600M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$800M
35% market probability
35%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 35%
+65 / −35
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 65%
+35 / −65
Explain your Yes on $800M
Explain your No on $800M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$1B
30% market probability
30%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 70%
+30 / −70
Explain your Yes on $1B
Explain your No on $1B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$1.5B
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
Explain your Yes on $1.5B
Explain your No on $1.5B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$2B
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on $2B
Explain your No on $2B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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