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Polymarket
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top outcomes
$50M
90%
$100M
88%
$200M
83%
$300M
79%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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$5.8M Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2028
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$5.8m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$5.8M Vol.
$50M
90% market probability
90%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 90%
+10 / −90
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 10%
+90 / −10
$100M
88% market probability
88%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 88%
+12 / −88
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 12%
+88 / −12
Explain your Yes on $100M
Explain your No on $100M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$200M
83% market probability
83%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 83%
+17 / −83
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 17%
+83 / −17
Explain your Yes on $200M
Explain your No on $200M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$300M
79% market probability
79%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 79%
+21 / −79
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 21%
+79 / −21
Explain your Yes on $300M
Explain your No on $300M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$400M
78% market probability
78%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 78%
+22 / −78
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 22%
+78 / −22
Explain your Yes on $400M
Explain your No on $400M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$500M
61% market probability
61%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 61%
+39 / −61
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 39%
+61 / −39
Explain your Yes on $500M
Explain your No on $500M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$600M
54% market probability
54%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 54%
+46 / −54
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 46%
+54 / −46
Explain your Yes on $600M
Explain your No on $600M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$800M
46% market probability
46%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 46%
+54 / −46
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 54%
+46 / −54
Explain your Yes on $800M
Explain your No on $800M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$1B
37% market probability
37%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 63%
+37 / −63
Explain your Yes on $1B
Explain your No on $1B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$1.5B
23% market probability
23%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 23%
+77 / −23
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 77%
+23 / −77
Explain your Yes on $1.5B
Explain your No on $1.5B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$2B
15% market probability
15%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 15%
+85 / −15
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 85%
+15 / −85
Explain your Yes on $2B
Explain your No on $2B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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