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Polymarket
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top outcomes
$50M
98%
$100M
95%
$200M
94%
$300M
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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$7.0M Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2028
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$7.0m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$7.0M Vol.
$50M
98% market probability
98%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 98%
+2 / −98
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 2%
+98 / −2
$100M
95% market probability
95%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 95%
+5 / −95
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 5%
+95 / −5
Explain your Yes on $100M
Explain your No on $100M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$200M
94% market probability
94%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 94%
+6 / −94
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 6%
+94 / −6
Explain your Yes on $200M
Explain your No on $200M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$300M
89% market probability
89%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 89%
+11 / −89
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 11%
+89 / −11
Explain your Yes on $300M
Explain your No on $300M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$400M
84% market probability
84%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 84%
+16 / −84
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 16%
+84 / −16
Explain your Yes on $400M
Explain your No on $400M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$500M
78% market probability
78%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 78%
+22 / −78
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 21%
+79 / −21
Explain your Yes on $500M
Explain your No on $500M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$600M
70% market probability
70%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 70%
+30 / −70
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 30%
+70 / −30
Explain your Yes on $600M
Explain your No on $600M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$800M
56% market probability
56%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 56%
+44 / −56
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 44%
+56 / −44
Explain your Yes on $800M
Explain your No on $800M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$1B
45% market probability
45%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 45%
+55 / −45
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 55%
+45 / −55
Explain your Yes on $1B
Explain your No on $1B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$1.5B
28% market probability
28%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 72%
+28 / −72
Explain your Yes on $1.5B
Explain your No on $1.5B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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$2B
21% market probability
21%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 21%
+79 / −21
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 79%
+21 / −79
Explain your Yes on $2B
Explain your No on $2B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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