Open
Politics
Polymarket
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$1.2b Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$1168.8M Vol.
Gavin Newsom
24% market probability
24%
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
No 76%
+24 / −76
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10% market probability
10%
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
No 90%
+10 / −90
Kamala Harris
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Jon Ossoff
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
Josh Shapiro
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
Pete Buttigieg
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
Andy Beshear
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Rahm Emanuel
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
James Talarico
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Mark Kelly
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Ro Khanna
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Jon Stewart
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
J.B. Pritzker
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Michelle Obama
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Wes Moore
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Gretchen Whitmer
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Stephen A. Smith
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Mark Cuban
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Roy Cooper
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Cory Booker
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Chelsea Clinton
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Chris Murphy
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Graham Platner
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
John Fetterman
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
MrBeast
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Liz Cheney
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Jared Polis
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
LeBron James
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Gina Raimondo
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Oprah Winfrey
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Ruben Gallego
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Bernie Sanders
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Zohran Mamdani
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Hillary Clinton
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Raphael Warnock
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Tim Walz
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Andrew Yang
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Phil Murphy
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Barack Obama
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Hunter Biden
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
George Clooney
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Kim Kardashian
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Beto O’Rourke
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Jasmine Crockett
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
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Public forecast history
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