Open Politics Polymarket

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

$33.7M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

Live odds

No 94%
Yes 6%

Live Polymarket Chart

Open on Polymarket ↗

Place a forecast

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

201 days left

Pick your outcome below. Live Polymarket odds are captured when you submit. Share the argument behind your pick, then post your forecast.

Market closes Dec 31, 2026

Your forecast

Reputation at stake based on current Polymarket odds.

Your pick

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.