Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

$46.6M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$46.6m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$46.6M Vol.

December 31

14% market probability

14%
Yes 14% +86 / −14 No 86% +14 / −86

September 30

8% market probability

8%
Yes 8% +92 / −8 No 92% +8 / −92

June 30

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

May 31

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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