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Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
Top outcomes
December 31
22%
September 30
14%
August 31
6%
July 31
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
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$6.0M Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$6.0m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$6.0M Vol.
December 31
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
September 30
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on September 30
Explain your No on September 30
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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August 31
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on August 31
Explain your No on August 31
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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July 31
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on July 31
Explain your No on July 31
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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May 31
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on May 31
Explain your No on May 31
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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July 15
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on July 15
Explain your No on July 15
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 19
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 19
Explain your No on June 19
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 26
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 26
Explain your No on June 26
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 30
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 30
Explain your No on June 30
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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April 30
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on April 30
Explain your No on April 30
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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March 13
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on March 13
Explain your No on March 13
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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March 16
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on March 16
Explain your No on March 16
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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March 31
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on March 31
Explain your No on March 31
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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