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Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
Top outcomes
December 31, 2026
8%
June 30, 2026
0%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$3.5M Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$3.5m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$3.5M Vol.
December 31, 2026
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
June 30, 2026
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
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>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 30, 2026
Explain your No on June 30, 2026
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0 / 2,000
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