MLS Cup Winner 2026 Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? F1 Drivers' Champion Epstein client list released by...? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Fed rate hike in 2026? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? Highest grossing movie in 2026? Iran leader end of 2026? María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Israel closes its airspace by...? Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
MLS Cup Winner 2026 Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? F1 Drivers' Champion Epstein client list released by...? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Fed rate hike in 2026? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? Highest grossing movie in 2026? Iran leader end of 2026? María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Israel closes its airspace by...? Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Open World Polymarket

Iran leadership change by...?

Top outcomes

June 30, 2027 26%
December 31 22%
September 30 12%
July 31 5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

View on Polymarket
$19.6M Vol. Closes Jun 30, 2027

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$19.6m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$19.6M Vol.

June 30, 2027

26% market probability

26%

Explain your Yes on June 30, 2027 Explain your No on June 30, 2027 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

December 31

22% market probability

22%

Explain your Yes on December 31 Explain your No on December 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

September 30

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on September 30 Explain your No on September 30 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

July 31

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on July 31 Explain your No on July 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

May 31

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on May 31 Explain your No on May 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

June 30

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on June 30 Explain your No on June 30 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

April 30

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on April 30 Explain your No on April 30 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

March 13

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on March 13 Explain your No on March 13 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

March 31

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on March 31 Explain your No on March 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.