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Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.
$6.3M Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2025
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$6.3m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$6.3M Vol.
December 31, 2026
80% market probability
80%
Yes 80%
+20 / −80
No 20%
+80 / −20
September 30, 2026
67% market probability
67%
Yes 67%
+33 / −67
No 33%
+67 / −33
June 30, 2026
30% market probability
30%
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
No 70%
+30 / −70
May 31, 2026
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
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