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Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Presidential Election Winner 2028 Trump out as President before 2027? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? F1 Drivers' Champion Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Iran leadership change by...? California Governor Election Winner World Cup Winner Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? NBA: LeBron James Next Team NFL Champion 2027 What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Open World Polymarket

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

Top outcomes

December 31, 2026 94%
September 30, 2026 90%
August 31, 2026 75%
July 19, 2026 44%

This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.

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$7.8M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$7.8m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$7.8M Vol.

December 31, 2026

94% market probability

94%

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0 / 2,000

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September 30, 2026

90% market probability

90%

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0 / 2,000

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August 31, 2026

75% market probability

75%

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0 / 2,000

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July 19, 2026

44% market probability

44%

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0 / 2,000

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July 31, 2026

40% market probability

40%

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0 / 2,000

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August 31

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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October 31

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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December 31

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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November 30

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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May 31, 2026

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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September 30

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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June 30, 2026

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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April 30, 2026

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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March 31, 2026

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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January 31, 2026

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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February 28, 2026

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

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