Open
Crypto
Polymarket
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top outcomes
$300M
27%
$100M
24%
$500M
23%
$1B
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Read more
Show less
$6.5M Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
Open on Polymarket ↗
The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.
$6.5m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$6.5M Vol.
$300M
27% market probability
27%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 27%
+73 / −27
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 73%
+27 / −73
$100M
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on $100M
Explain your No on $100M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$500M
23% market probability
23%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 23%
+77 / −23
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 77%
+23 / −77
Explain your Yes on $500M
Explain your No on $500M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$1B
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on $1B
Explain your No on $1B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$2B
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on $2B
Explain your No on $2B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$3B
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on $3B
Explain your No on $3B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
$5B
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on $5B
Explain your No on $5B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.