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Crypto
Polymarket
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top outcomes
$100M
21%
$500M
19%
$300M
18%
$1B
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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$6.7M Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$6.7m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$6.7M Vol.
$100M
21% market probability
21%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 21%
+79 / −21
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 79%
+21 / −79
$500M
19% market probability
19%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 19%
+81 / −19
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 81%
+19 / −81
Explain your Yes on $500M
Explain your No on $500M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$300M
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
Explain your Yes on $300M
Explain your No on $300M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$1B
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on $1B
Explain your No on $1B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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$2B
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on $2B
Explain your No on $2B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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$3B
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on $3B
Explain your No on $3B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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$5B
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on $5B
Explain your No on $5B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
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