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Next Prime Minister of Sweden Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion US military action against Cuba by...? Trump out as President before 2027? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? World Cup: Golden Ball Winner Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Fed Decision in July? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Which company has best AI model end of July? NFL Champion 2027 World Cup: Golden Boot Winner Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place F1 Constructors' Champion Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...? Which party will win the House in 2026? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Open Crypto Polymarket

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top outcomes

$300M 28%
$100M 24%
$500M 23%
$1B 16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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$6.5M Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$6.5m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$6.5M Vol.

$300M

28% market probability

28%

Explain your Yes on $300M Explain your No on $300M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$100M

24% market probability

24%

Explain your Yes on $100M Explain your No on $100M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$500M

23% market probability

23%

Explain your Yes on $500M Explain your No on $500M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$1B

16% market probability

16%

Explain your Yes on $1B Explain your No on $1B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$2B

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on $2B Explain your No on $2B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$3B

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on $3B Explain your No on $3B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$5B

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on $5B Explain your No on $5B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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