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Polymarket
MLS Cup Winner 2026
Top outcomes
Inter Miami CF
29%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
15%
Los Angeles FC
10%
Nashville SC
9%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$19.5M Vol.
Closes Dec 19, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$19.5m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$19.5M Vol.
Inter Miami CF
29% market probability
29%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 29%
+71 / −29
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 71%
+29 / −71
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
15% market probability
15%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 15%
+85 / −15
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 85%
+15 / −85
Explain your Yes on Vancouver Whitecaps FC
Explain your No on Vancouver Whitecaps FC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Los Angeles FC
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Los Angeles FC
Explain your No on Los Angeles FC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nashville SC
9% market probability
9%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 91%
+9 / −91
Explain your Yes on Nashville SC
Explain your No on Nashville SC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Chicago Fire FC
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Chicago Fire FC
Explain your No on Chicago Fire FC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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FC Cincinnati
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on FC Cincinnati
Explain your No on FC Cincinnati
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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San Jose Earthquakes
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on San Jose Earthquakes
Explain your No on San Jose Earthquakes
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Seattle Sounders FC
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Seattle Sounders FC
Explain your No on Seattle Sounders FC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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St. Louis City SC
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on St. Louis City SC
Explain your No on St. Louis City SC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Orlando City SC
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Orlando City SC
Explain your No on Orlando City SC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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New York City FC
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on New York City FC
Explain your No on New York City FC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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San Diego FC
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on San Diego FC
Explain your No on San Diego FC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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LA Galaxy
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on LA Galaxy
Explain your No on LA Galaxy
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Houston Dynamo FC
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Houston Dynamo FC
Explain your No on Houston Dynamo FC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Real Salt Lake
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Real Salt Lake
Explain your No on Real Salt Lake
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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New York Red Bulls
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on New York Red Bulls
Explain your No on New York Red Bulls
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Charlotte FC
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Charlotte FC
Explain your No on Charlotte FC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Columbus Crew
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Columbus Crew
Explain your No on Columbus Crew
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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New England Revolution
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on New England Revolution
Explain your No on New England Revolution
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sporting Kansas City
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Sporting Kansas City
Explain your No on Sporting Kansas City
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Minnesota United FC
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Minnesota United FC
Explain your No on Minnesota United FC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Toronto FC
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Toronto FC
Explain your No on Toronto FC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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D.C. United
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on D.C. United
Explain your No on D.C. United
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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FC Dallas
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on FC Dallas
Explain your No on FC Dallas
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Atlanta United FC
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Atlanta United FC
Explain your No on Atlanta United FC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Portland Timbers
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Portland Timbers
Explain your No on Portland Timbers
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Colorado Rapids
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Colorado Rapids
Explain your No on Colorado Rapids
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Austin FC
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Austin FC
Explain your No on Austin FC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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CF Montréal
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on CF Montréal
Explain your No on CF Montréal
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Philadelphia Union
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Philadelphia Union
Explain your No on Philadelphia Union
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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