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Politics
Polymarket
Next French Presidential Election
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$84.8m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$84.8M Vol.
Jordan Bardella
26% market probability
26%
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
No 74%
+26 / −74
Édouard Philippe
16% market probability
16%
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
No 84%
+16 / −84
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
12% market probability
12%
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
No 88%
+12 / −88
Gabriel Attal
7% market probability
7%
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
No 93%
+7 / −93
Marine Le Pen
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
François Hollande
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Dominique de Villepin
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
David Lisnard
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Bruno Retailleau
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Raphaël Glucksmann
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Sarah Knafo
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Sébastien Lecornu
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Éric Zemmour
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Jean Castex
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Gérald Darmanin
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Bernard Cazeneuve
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Juan Branco
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Fabien Roussel
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
François Ruffin
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Laurent Wauquiez
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Clémence Guetté
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Carole Delga
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Olivier Faure
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Manuel Bompard
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Mathilde Panot
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Michel Barnier
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Xavier Bertrand
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
François Bayrou
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Marine Tondelier
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Ségolène Royal
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Élisabeth Borne
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Yaël Braun-Pivet
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Clémentine Autain
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Valérie Pécresse
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
François Asselineau
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
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