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F1 Constructors' Champion Xi Jinping out before 2027? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? US strike on Mexico by...? Trump out as President before 2027? MLB: 2026 National League Champion Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? NBA: LeBron James Next Team What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Largest Company end of December 2026? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 US military action against Cuba by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? LCK 2026 Season Winner Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
Open Politics Polymarket

Next French Presidential Election

Top outcomes

Marine Le Pen 29%
Édouard Philippe 28%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%
Jordan Bardella 4%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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$112.1M Vol. Closes Apr 30, 2027

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$112.1m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$112.1M Vol.

Marine Le Pen

29% market probability

29%

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0 / 2,000

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Édouard Philippe

28% market probability

28%

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0 / 2,000

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Jordan Bardella

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Bruno Retailleau

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Gabriel Attal

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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François Hollande

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Dominique de Villepin

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Raphaël Glucksmann

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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David Lisnard

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Sarah Knafo

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Éric Zemmour

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Sébastien Lecornu

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Michel Barnier

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Bernard Cazeneuve

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Gérald Darmanin

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Jean Castex

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Juan Branco

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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François Ruffin

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Valérie Pécresse

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Clémence Guetté

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Fabien Roussel

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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François Bayrou

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Laurent Wauquiez

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Marine Tondelier

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Ségolène Royal

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Yaël Braun-Pivet

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Carole Delga

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Olivier Faure

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Manuel Bompard

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Mathilde Panot

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Xavier Bertrand

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Élisabeth Borne

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Clémentine Autain

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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François Asselineau

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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