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Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
Top outcomes
December 31
6%
May 31
0%
June 30
0%
April 30
0%
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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$21.6M Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$21.6m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$21.6M Vol.
December 31
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
May 31
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on May 31
Explain your No on May 31
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 30
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 30
Explain your No on June 30
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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April 30
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on April 30
Explain your No on April 30
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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March 31
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on March 31
Explain your No on March 31
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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January 31
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on January 31
Explain your No on January 31
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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February 28
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on February 28
Explain your No on February 28
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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