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Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Top outcomes

December 31 6%
May 31 0%
June 30 0%
April 30 0%

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

$21.6M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$21.6m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$21.6M Vol.

December 31

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on December 31 Explain your No on December 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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May 31

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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June 30

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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April 30

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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March 31

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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January 31

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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February 28

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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