Open Science & Tech Polymarket

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

$7.7M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$7.7m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$7.7M Vol.

↑2k

99% market probability

99%
Yes 99% +1 / −99 No 1% +99 / −1

↑3k

80% market probability

80%
Yes 80% +20 / −80 No 20% +80 / −20

↑4k

40% market probability

40%
Yes 40% +60 / −40 No 60% +40 / −60

↑5k

18% market probability

18%
Yes 18% +82 / −18 No 82% +18 / −82

↑7.5k

16% market probability

16%
Yes 16% +84 / −16 No 84% +16 / −84

↑10k

14% market probability

14%
Yes 14% +86 / −14 No 86% +14 / −86

↑12.5k

8% market probability

8%
Yes 8% +92 / −8 No 92% +8 / −92
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