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Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? NFL Champion 2027 MLS Cup Winner 2026 Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? California Governor Election Winner Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Fed Decision in July? 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? Brazil Presidential Election Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Fed rate hike in 2026? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? Which company has best AI model end of July?
Open Science & Tech Polymarket

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Top outcomes

↑1k 100%
↑2k 100%
↑500 100%
↑3k 84%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

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$7.8M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$7.8m Vol.

All outcomes

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$7.8M Vol.

↑1k

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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↑2k

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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↑500

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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↑3k

84% market probability

84%

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0 / 2,000

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↑3.5k

60% market probability

60%

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0 / 2,000

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↑4k

36% market probability

36%

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0 / 2,000

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↑5k

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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↑7.5k

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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↑10k

7% market probability

7%

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0 / 2,000

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↑12.5k

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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