How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? MLB: 2026 American League Champion F1 Drivers' Champion Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Highest grossing movie in 2026? Iran leadership change by...? Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? Pro Football: 2027 Champion New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Texas Senate Election Winner Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Iran leader end of 2026? NBA: 2027 Champion Netanyahu out by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Fed Decision in October?
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? MLB: 2026 American League Champion F1 Drivers' Champion Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Highest grossing movie in 2026? Iran leadership change by...? Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? Pro Football: 2027 Champion New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Texas Senate Election Winner Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Iran leader end of 2026? NBA: 2027 Champion Netanyahu out by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Fed Decision in October?
Open Science & Tech Polymarket

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Top outcomes

↑1k 100%
↑2k 100%
↑3k 100%
↑4k 100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

View on Polymarket
$8.1M Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$8.1m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$8.1M Vol.

↑1k

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↑1k Explain your No on ↑1k (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑2k

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↑2k Explain your No on ↑2k (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑3k

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↑3k Explain your No on ↑3k (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑4k

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↑4k Explain your No on ↑4k (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑500

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↑500 Explain your No on ↑500 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑3.5k

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↑3.5k Explain your No on ↑3.5k (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑5k

97% market probability

97%

Explain your Yes on ↑5k Explain your No on ↑5k (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑4.75k

97% market probability

97%

Explain your Yes on ↑4.75k Explain your No on ↑4.75k (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑5.5k

90% market probability

90%

Explain your Yes on ↑5.5k Explain your No on ↑5.5k (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑6k

84% market probability

84%

Explain your Yes on ↑6k Explain your No on ↑6k (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑6.5k

52% market probability

52%

Explain your Yes on ↑6.5k Explain your No on ↑6.5k (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑7k

24% market probability

24%

Explain your Yes on ↑7k Explain your No on ↑7k (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑7.5k

20% market probability

20%

Explain your Yes on ↑7.5k Explain your No on ↑7.5k (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑10k

7% market probability

7%

Explain your Yes on ↑10k Explain your No on ↑10k (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑12.5k

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on ↑12.5k Explain your No on ↑12.5k (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.