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Politics
Polymarket
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
Top outcomes
Andy Burnham
100%
Nigel Farage
0%
No Next PM in 2026
0%
Shabana Mahmood
0%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$16.4M Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$16.4m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$16.4M Vol.
Andy Burnham
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Nigel Farage
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nigel Farage
Explain your No on Nigel Farage
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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No Next PM in 2026
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on No Next PM in 2026
Explain your No on No Next PM in 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Shabana Mahmood
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Shabana Mahmood
Explain your No on Shabana Mahmood
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Al Carns
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Al Carns
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ed Davey
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ed Davey
Explain your No on Ed Davey
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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David Lammy
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on David Lammy
Explain your No on David Lammy
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ed Miliband
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ed Miliband
Explain your No on Ed Miliband
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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John Healey
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on John Healey
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lucy Powell
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Lucy Powell
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rupert Lowe
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Rupert Lowe
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Darren Jones
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Darren Jones
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Angela Rayner
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Angela Rayner
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Boris Johnson
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Boris Johnson
Explain your No on Boris Johnson
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kemi Badenoch
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Kemi Badenoch
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rachel Reeves
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Rachel Reeves
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Wes Streeting
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Wes Streeting
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Yvette Cooper
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Yvette Cooper
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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James Cleverly
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on James Cleverly
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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OG Anunoby Jr.
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on OG Anunoby Jr.
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Robert Jenrick
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Robert Jenrick
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bridget Phillipson
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Bridget Phillipson
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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