Open
Politics
Polymarket
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$8.6m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$8.6M Vol.
Andy Burnham
53% market probability
53%
Yes 53%
+47 / −53
No 47%
+53 / −47
No Next PM in 2026
26% market probability
26%
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
No 74%
+26 / −74
Angela Rayner
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Ed Miliband
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Wes Streeting
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Yvette Cooper
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Shabana Mahmood
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Al Carns
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Rachel Reeves
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Nigel Farage
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
David Lammy
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Kemi Badenoch
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Rupert Lowe
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ed Davey
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
John Healey
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Lucy Powell
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Darren Jones
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Boris Johnson
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
James Cleverly
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Robert Jenrick
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Bridget Phillipson
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
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