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Next Prime Minister of Sweden Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? What price will Bitcoin hit in July? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) Highest grossing movie in 2026? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Iran leader end of 2026? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Presidential Election Winner 2028 Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Open Politics Polymarket

California Governor Election Winner

Top outcomes

Xavier Becerra 93%
Steve Hilton 7%
Betty Yee 0%
Leo Zacky 0%

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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$40.2M Vol. Closes Nov 3, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$40.2m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$40.2M Vol.

Xavier Becerra

93% market probability

93%

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0 / 2,000

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Steve Hilton

7% market probability

7%

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0 / 2,000

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Betty Yee

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Leo Zacky

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Butch Ware

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Matt Mahan

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Tom Steyer

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Chad Bianco

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Rick Caruso

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Toni Atkins

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Alex Padilla

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Katie Porter

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Eric Swalwell

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Kamala Harris

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Kyle Langford

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Tony Thurmond

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Daniel Mercuri

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Elaine Culotti

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Michael Younger

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Nicole Shanahan

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Eleni Kounalakis

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Stephen Cloobeck

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Antonio Villaraigosa

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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