Open
Politics
Polymarket
California Governor Election Winner
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$28.2m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$28.2M Vol.
Xavier Becerra
68% market probability
68%
Yes 68%
+32 / −68
No 32%
+68 / −32
Tom Steyer
20% market probability
20%
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
No 80%
+20 / −80
Steve Hilton
9% market probability
9%
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
No 91%
+9 / −91
Chad Bianco
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Betty Yee
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Matt Mahan
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Rick Caruso
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Toni Atkins
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Katie Porter
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Eric Swalwell
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Kamala Harris
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Tony Thurmond
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Nicole Shanahan
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Butch Ware
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Leo Zacky
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Alex Padilla
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Kyle Langford
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Daniel Mercuri
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Elaine Culotti
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Michael Younger
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Eleni Kounalakis
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Stephen Cloobeck
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Antonio Villaraigosa
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
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Public forecast history
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