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Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

Top outcomes

December 31, 2029 24%
December 31, 2028 18%
December 31, 2027 10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$1.8M Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2030

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$1.8m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.8M Vol.

December 31, 2029

24% market probability

24%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2029 Explain your No on December 31, 2029 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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December 31, 2028

18% market probability

18%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2028 Explain your No on December 31, 2028 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

December 31, 2027

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2027 Explain your No on December 31, 2027 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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