Open
Politics
Polymarket
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
Top outcomes
July 31
18%
January 9
0%
January 31
0%
March 8
0%
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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$6.3M Vol.
Closes Aug 31, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$6.3m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$6.3M Vol.
July 31
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
January 9
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on January 9
Explain your No on January 9
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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January 31
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on January 31
Explain your No on January 31
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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March 8
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on March 8
Explain your No on March 8
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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March 31
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on March 31
Explain your No on March 31
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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April 30
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on April 30
Explain your No on April 30
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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May 31
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on May 31
Explain your No on May 31
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 30
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 30
Explain your No on June 30
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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Public forecast history
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