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2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Top outcomes
Aryna Sabalenka
24%
Iga Swiatek
10%
Elena Rybakina
9%
Coco Gauff
8%
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$6.0M Vol.
Closes Sep 13, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$6.0m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$6.0M Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Iga Swiatek
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Iga Swiatek
Explain your No on Iga Swiatek
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Elena Rybakina
9% market probability
9%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 91%
+9 / −91
Explain your Yes on Elena Rybakina
Explain your No on Elena Rybakina
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Coco Gauff
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Coco Gauff
Explain your No on Coco Gauff
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mirra Andreeva
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Mirra Andreeva
Explain your No on Mirra Andreeva
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Naomi Osaka
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Naomi Osaka
Explain your No on Naomi Osaka
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jessica Pegula
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Jessica Pegula
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Linda Noskova
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Linda Noskova
Explain your No on Linda Noskova
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Amanda Anisimova
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Amanda Anisimova
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Karolina Muchova
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Karolina Muchova
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Elina Svitolina
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Elina Svitolina
Explain your No on Elina Svitolina
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Madison Keys
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Madison Keys
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Barbora Krejcikova
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Barbora Krejcikova
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alexandra Eala
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Alexandra Eala
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Victoria Mboko
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Victoria Mboko
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Belinda Bencic
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Belinda Bencic
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Diana Shnaider
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Diana Shnaider
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jasmine Paolini
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Jasmine Paolini
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Elise Mertens
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Elise Mertens
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Marie Bouzkova
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Marie Bouzkova
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Emma Navarro
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Emma Navarro
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Paula Badosa
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Paula Badosa
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Qinwen Zheng
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Qinwen Zheng
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tereza Valentova
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Tereza Valentova
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ekaterina Alexandrova
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ekaterina Alexandrova
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Clara Tauson
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Clara Tauson
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Emma Raducanu
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Emma Raducanu
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jelena Ostapenko
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jelena Ostapenko
Explain your No on Jelena Ostapenko
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Anastasia Potapova
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Anastasia Potapova
Explain your No on Anastasia Potapova
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Donna Vekic
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Donna Vekic
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Liudmila Samsonova
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Liudmila Samsonova
Explain your No on Liudmila Samsonova
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ashlyn Krueger
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ashlyn Krueger
Explain your No on Ashlyn Krueger
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dayana Yastremska
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Dayana Yastremska
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sofia Kenin
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Sofia Kenin
Explain your No on Sofia Kenin
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Xiyu Wang
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Xiyu Wang
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Maya Joint
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Maya Joint
Explain your No on Maya Joint
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Katie Boulter
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Katie Boulter
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Daria Kasatkina
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Daria Kasatkina
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Beatriz Haddad Maia
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Beatriz Haddad Maia
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Marketa Vondrousova
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Marketa Vondrousova
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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