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Netanyahu out by...?
Top outcomes
December 31
36%
July 31
1%
May 31
0%
June 30
0%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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$123.5M Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$123.5m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$123.5M Vol.
December 31
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
July 31
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on July 31
Explain your No on July 31
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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May 31
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on May 31
Explain your No on May 31
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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June 30
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 30
Explain your No on June 30
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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April 30
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on April 30
Explain your No on April 30
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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March 31
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on March 31
Explain your No on March 31
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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Public forecast history
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