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Netanyahu out by...?

Top outcomes

December 31 36%
July 31 1%
May 31 0%
June 30 0%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

$123.5M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$123.5m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$123.5M Vol.

December 31

36% market probability

36%

Explain your Yes on December 31 Explain your No on December 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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July 31

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on July 31 Explain your No on July 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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May 31

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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June 30

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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April 30

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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March 31

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on March 31 Explain your No on March 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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