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TheBagHodler 💎

Anonymous

9
followers: 10
following
Joined May 2026

Reputation

312

Predictive quality

Rep / forecast

1.55

Average across 201 scored forecasts.

Unrealized reputation

+11

Estimated if you closed every open forecast at current market probabilities.

Popularity

Social engagement

Predictions

213

12 open · 99 correct · 78 incorrect

Accuracy

56%

0-day streak Best: 43 days

Rep Level 3 · Analyst 312 / 350 rep

Pop Level 2 · Chatter 72 / 75 pop

Badges

Milestones earned from forecasts, accuracy, popularity, streaks, and challenge wins.

9/13

Founding Forecaster

One of the first 100 members of PredictStamp.

Earned Jul 8, 2026

First Forecast

Published your first prediction.

Earned May 28, 2026

Getting Serious

Published 10 predictions.

Earned 21× · latest Jul 9, 2026

Prolific Forecaster

Published 50 predictions.

Earned 4× · latest Jul 8, 2026

On the Board

Got your first prediction right.

Earned May 31, 2026

Sharp Eye

Resolved 10 predictions correctly.

Earned 12× · latest Jul 12, 2026

Crowd Favorite

Earned 100 popularity points.

Locked

Community Voice

Earned 500 popularity points.

Locked

Week Warrior

Reached a 7-day activity streak.

Earned 6× · latest Jul 9, 2026

Unstoppable

Reached a 30-day activity streak.

Earned Jun 26, 2026

First Victory

Won your first head-to-head challenge.

Earned Jun 7, 2026

Challenge Champ

Won 5 head-to-head challenges.

Locked

Duel Legend

Won 10 head-to-head challenges.

Locked

Calibration

Hit rate by market-implied entry probability. A well-calibrated forecaster lands near the diagonal — winning ~30% of 30% calls and ~90% of 90% calls.

0–20%

0% (5)

20–40%

29% (41)

40–60%

61% (46)

60–80%

68% (53)

80–100%

72% (32)

Market-implied Actual accuracy

Expertise by category

Reputation and popularity broken down by topic — spot specialists in crypto, politics, sports, and more.

Reputation radar

Predictive quality per category

Popularity radar

Social engagement per category

Swipe to see all columns →

Category	Reputation	Popularity	Predictions	Leaderboards
Crypto	20	0	4 · 3/4 correct	Rep · Pop
Economy	-122	0	9 · 5/9 correct	Rep · Pop
Politics	71	0	22 · 14/18 correct	Rep · Pop
Esports	-80	0	1 · 0/1 correct	Rep · Pop
Sports	449	3	85 · 50/79 correct	Rep · Pop
FIFA World Cup 2026	74	1	77 · 40/76 correct	Rep · Pop
Pop Culture	0	0	1	Rep · Pop
Science & Tech	0	0	1	Rep · Pop
World	0	0	0	Rep · Pop
Other	-100	1	13 · 8/13 correct	Rep · Pop

Track record

View all

2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner

Closed Jul 12, 2026 · Entered May 29, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 12, 2026

Forecast: Jannik Sinner

Entry

57%

Resolution

100%

Jannik Sinner

Realized

+43

Polymarket gave Jannik Sinner 57% at forecast time · +43 if correct · −57 if wrong

Correct

Argentina vs. Switzerland

Closed Jul 12, 2026 · Entered Jul 11, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 12, 2026

Forecast: Argentina

Entry

57%

Resolution

Draw

Realized

-57

Polymarket gave Argentina 57% at forecast time · +43 if correct · −57 if wrong

Incorrect

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Closed Jul 12, 2026 · Entered Jul 11, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 12, 2026

Forecast: Max Holloway

Entry

70%

Resolution

100%

Max Holloway

Realized

+30

Polymarket gave Max Holloway 70% at forecast time · +30 if correct · −70 if wrong

Correct

Norway vs. England

Closed Jul 12, 2026 · Entered Jul 7, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 11, 2026

Forecast: Draw

Entry

26%

Resolution

100%

Draw

Realized

+74

Polymarket gave Draw 26% at forecast time · +74 if correct · −26 if wrong

Correct

Spain vs. Belgium

Closed Jul 10, 2026 · Entered Jul 7, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 10, 2026

Forecast: Draw

Entry

24%

Resolution

Spain

Realized

-24

Polymarket gave Draw 24% at forecast time · +76 if correct · −24 if wrong

Incorrect

FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj

Closed Jul 9, 2026 · Entered Jul 9, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 9, 2026

Forecast: FK Dynamo Kyiv

Entry

70%

Resolution

Draw

Realized

-70

Polymarket gave FK Dynamo Kyiv 70% at forecast time · +30 if correct · −70 if wrong

Incorrect

France vs. Morocco

Closed Jul 9, 2026 · Entered Jul 7, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 9, 2026

Forecast: France

Entry

62%

Resolution

100%

France

Realized

+38

Polymarket gave France 62% at forecast time · +38 if correct · −62 if wrong

Correct

Glentoran FC vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola

Closed Jul 9, 2026 · Entered Jul 9, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 9, 2026

Forecast: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola

Entry

56%

Resolution

100%

FK Rīgas Futbola Skola

Realized

+44

Polymarket gave FK Rīgas Futbola Skola 56% at forecast time · +44 if correct · −56 if wrong

Correct

FK Velež Mostar vs. FC Milsami Orhei

Closed Jul 9, 2026 · Entered Jul 9, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 9, 2026

Forecast: FK Velež Mostar

Entry

52%

Resolution

Draw

Realized

-52

Polymarket gave FK Velež Mostar 52% at forecast time · +48 if correct · −52 if wrong

Incorrect

Alashkert FA vs. Elimai FK

Closed Jul 9, 2026 · Entered Jul 9, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 9, 2026

Forecast: Alashkert FA

Entry

46%

Resolution

Draw

Realized

-46

Polymarket gave Alashkert FA 46% at forecast time · +54 if correct · −46 if wrong

Incorrect