Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Iran full airspace closure by...? Epstein client list released by...? Anthropic IPO by __? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion MLB: 2026 American League Champion Pro Football: 2027 Champion Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Trump out as President before 2027? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion LALIGA: 2027 Champion What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Iran full airspace closure by...? Epstein client list released by...? Anthropic IPO by __? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion MLB: 2026 American League Champion Pro Football: 2027 Champion Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Trump out as President before 2027? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion LALIGA: 2027 Champion What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

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TheBagHodler 💎

Earned badges
Anonymous
9
followers
10
following
Joined May 2026

Reputation

360

Predictive quality

Rep / forecast

1.65

Average across 218 scored forecasts.

Unrealized reputation

+26

Estimated if you closed every open forecast at current market probabilities.

Popularity

83

Social engagement

Predictions

227

9 open · 108 correct · 86 incorrect

Accuracy

56%

0-day streak Best: 43 days
Rep Level 4 · Forecaster 360 / 700 rep
Pop Level 3 · Regular 83 / 200 pop

Badges

Milestones earned from forecasts, accuracy, popularity, streaks, and challenge wins.

9/13
Founding Forecaster

One of the first 100 members of PredictStamp.

Earned Jul 8, 2026

First Forecast

Published your first prediction.

Earned May 28, 2026

Getting Serious

Published 10 predictions.

Earned 22× · latest Jul 18, 2026

Prolific Forecaster

Published 50 predictions.

Earned 4× · latest Jul 8, 2026

On the Board

Got your first prediction right.

Earned May 31, 2026

Sharp Eye

Resolved 10 predictions correctly.

Earned 12× · latest Jul 12, 2026

Crowd Favorite

Earned 100 popularity points.

Locked

Community Voice

Earned 500 popularity points.

Locked

Week Warrior

Reached a 7-day activity streak.

Earned 6× · latest Jul 9, 2026

Unstoppable

Reached a 30-day activity streak.

Earned Jun 26, 2026

First Victory

Won your first head-to-head challenge.

Earned Jun 7, 2026

Challenge Champ

Won 5 head-to-head challenges.

Locked

Duel Legend

Won 10 head-to-head challenges.

Locked

Calibration

Hit rate by market-implied entry probability. A well-calibrated forecaster lands near the diagonal — winning ~30% of 30% calls and ~90% of 90% calls.

0–20%

0% (5)

20–40%

28% (47)

40–60%

60% (52)

60–80%

70% (56)

80–100%

74% (34)

Market-implied Actual accuracy

Expertise by category

Reputation and popularity broken down by topic — spot specialists in crypto, politics, sports, and more.

Reputation radar

Predictive quality per category

Popularity radar

Social engagement per category

Swipe to see all columns →

Category Reputation Popularity Predictions Leaderboards
Crypto 20 0 4 · 3/4 correct Rep · Pop
Economy -122 0 10 · 5/9 correct Rep · Pop
Politics 79 0 22 · 15/19 correct Rep · Pop
Esports -80 0 1 · 0/1 correct Rep · Pop
Sports 595 3 96 · 57/91 correct Rep · Pop
FIFA World Cup 2026 -36 2 79 · 40/79 correct Rep · Pop
Pop Culture 0 0 1 Rep · Pop
Science & Tech 0 0 1 Rep · Pop
World 0 0 0 Rep · Pop
Other -96 1 13 · 9/14 correct Rep · Pop

Track record

View all
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Closed Oct 9, 2026 · Entered Jun 12, 2026 Verified record · Closes Apr 1, 2027

Forecast: Donald Trump

Entry

92%

Resolution

100%

Other

Realized

+8

Polymarket gave Donald Trump 92% at forecast time · +8 if correct · −92 if wrong

0
Correct
New York City FC vs. New York Red Bulls

Closed Sep 19, 2026 · Entered Sep 18, 2026 Verified record · Closes Sep 18, 2026

Forecast: New York City FC

Entry

50%

Resolution

0%

New York Red Bulls

Realized

-50

Polymarket gave New York City FC 50% at forecast time · +50 if correct · −50 if wrong

0
Incorrect
Lions vs. Bills

Closed Sep 18, 2026 · Entered Sep 17, 2026 Verified record · Closes Sep 18, 2026

Forecast: Lions

Entry

32%

Resolution

0%

Bills

Realized

-32

Polymarket gave Lions 32% at forecast time · +68 if correct · −32 if wrong

0
Incorrect
Spain vs. Argentina

Closed Jul 19, 2026 · Entered Jul 17, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 19, 2026

Forecast: Argentina

Entry

26%

Resolution

0%

Draw

Realized

-26

Polymarket gave Argentina 26% at forecast time · +74 if correct · −26 if wrong

0
Incorrect
CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna

Closed Jul 19, 2026 · Entered Jul 18, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 19, 2026

Forecast: CF Monterrey

Entry

62%

Resolution

100%

CF Monterrey

Realized

+38

Polymarket gave CF Monterrey 62% at forecast time · +38 if correct · −62 if wrong

0
Correct
Racing Louisville FC vs. Houston Dash

Closed Jul 19, 2026 · Entered Jul 18, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 19, 2026

Forecast: Racing Louisville FC

Entry

41%

Resolution

0%

Draw

Realized

-41

Polymarket gave Racing Louisville FC 41% at forecast time · +59 if correct · −41 if wrong

0
Incorrect