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TheBagHodler 💎

Earned badges
Anonymous
Joined May 2026

Reputation

434

Predictive quality

Rep / forecast

2.02

Average across 215 scored forecasts.

Unrealized reputation

+25

Estimated if you closed every open forecast at current market probabilities.

Popularity

79

Social engagement

Predictions

225

10 open · 107 correct · 84 incorrect

Accuracy

56%

0-day streak Best: 43 days
Rep Level 4 · Forecaster 434 / 700 rep
Pop Level 3 · Regular 79 / 200 pop

Badges

Milestones earned from forecasts, accuracy, popularity, streaks, and challenge wins.

9/13
Founding Forecaster

One of the first 100 members of PredictStamp.

Earned Jul 8, 2026

First Forecast

Published your first prediction.

Earned May 28, 2026

Getting Serious

Published 10 predictions.

Earned 22× · latest Jul 18, 2026

Prolific Forecaster

Published 50 predictions.

Earned 4× · latest Jul 8, 2026

On the Board

Got your first prediction right.

Earned May 31, 2026

Sharp Eye

Resolved 10 predictions correctly.

Earned 12× · latest Jul 12, 2026

Crowd Favorite

Earned 100 popularity points.

Locked

Community Voice

Earned 500 popularity points.

Locked

Week Warrior

Reached a 7-day activity streak.

Earned 6× · latest Jul 9, 2026

Unstoppable

Reached a 30-day activity streak.

Earned Jun 26, 2026

First Victory

Won your first head-to-head challenge.

Earned Jun 7, 2026

Challenge Champ

Won 5 head-to-head challenges.

Locked

Duel Legend

Won 10 head-to-head challenges.

Locked

Calibration

Hit rate by market-implied entry probability. A well-calibrated forecaster lands near the diagonal — winning ~30% of 30% calls and ~90% of 90% calls.

0–20%

0% (5)

20–40%

28% (46)

40–60%

61% (51)

60–80%

70% (56)

80–100%

73% (33)

Market-implied Actual accuracy

Expertise by category

Reputation and popularity broken down by topic — spot specialists in crypto, politics, sports, and more.

Reputation radar

Predictive quality per category

Popularity radar

Social engagement per category

Swipe to see all columns →

Category Reputation Popularity Predictions Leaderboards
Crypto 20 0 4 · 3/4 correct Rep · Pop
Economy -122 0 10 · 5/9 correct Rep · Pop
Politics 71 0 22 · 14/18 correct Rep · Pop
Esports -80 0 1 · 0/1 correct Rep · Pop
Sports 677 3 94 · 57/89 correct Rep · Pop
FIFA World Cup 2026 -36 2 79 · 40/79 correct Rep · Pop
Pop Culture 0 0 1 Rep · Pop
Science & Tech 0 0 1 Rep · Pop
World 0 0 0 Rep · Pop
Other -96 1 13 · 9/14 correct Rep · Pop

Track record

View all
Spain vs. Argentina

Closed Jul 19, 2026 · Entered Jul 17, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 19, 2026

Forecast: Argentina

Entry

26%

Resolution

0%

Draw

Realized

-26

Polymarket gave Argentina 26% at forecast time · +74 if correct · −26 if wrong

0
Incorrect
CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna

Closed Jul 19, 2026 · Entered Jul 18, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 19, 2026

Forecast: CF Monterrey

Entry

62%

Resolution

100%

CF Monterrey

Realized

+38

Polymarket gave CF Monterrey 62% at forecast time · +38 if correct · −62 if wrong

0
Correct
Racing Louisville FC vs. Houston Dash

Closed Jul 19, 2026 · Entered Jul 18, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 19, 2026

Forecast: Racing Louisville FC

Entry

41%

Resolution

0%

Draw

Realized

-41

Polymarket gave Racing Louisville FC 41% at forecast time · +59 if correct · −41 if wrong

0
Incorrect
Utah Royals FC vs. Orlando Pride

Closed Jul 19, 2026 · Entered Jul 18, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 19, 2026

Forecast: Utah Royals FC

Entry

45%

Resolution

100%

Utah Royals FC

Realized

+55

Polymarket gave Utah Royals FC 45% at forecast time · +55 if correct · −45 if wrong

0
Correct
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca

Closed Jul 19, 2026 · Entered Jul 18, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 18, 2026

Forecast: Draw

Entry

28%

Resolution

0%

CF Pachuca

Realized

-28

Polymarket gave Draw 28% at forecast time · +72 if correct · −28 if wrong

0
Incorrect