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MLB: 2026 American League Champion
Top outcomes
New York Yankees
26%
Seattle Mariners
17%
Tampa Bay Rays
14%
Texas Rangers
8%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$4.1M Vol.
Closes Nov 1, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$4.1m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$4.1M Vol.
New York Yankees
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
Seattle Mariners
17% market probability
17%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 17%
+83 / −17
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 83%
+17 / −83
Explain your Yes on Seattle Mariners
Explain your No on Seattle Mariners
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tampa Bay Rays
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on Tampa Bay Rays
Explain your No on Tampa Bay Rays
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Texas Rangers
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Texas Rangers
Explain your No on Texas Rangers
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Chicago White Sox
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Chicago White Sox
Explain your No on Chicago White Sox
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cleveland Guardians
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Cleveland Guardians
Explain your No on Cleveland Guardians
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Toronto Blue Jays
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Toronto Blue Jays
Explain your No on Toronto Blue Jays
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Detroit Tigers
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Detroit Tigers
Explain your No on Detroit Tigers
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Houston Astros
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Houston Astros
Explain your No on Houston Astros
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Boston Red Sox
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Boston Red Sox
Explain your No on Boston Red Sox
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Baltimore Orioles
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Baltimore Orioles
Explain your No on Baltimore Orioles
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Athletics
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Athletics
Explain your No on Athletics
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Minnesota Twins
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Minnesota Twins
Explain your No on Minnesota Twins
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kansas City Royals
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Kansas City Royals
Explain your No on Kansas City Royals
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Los Angeles Angels
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Los Angeles Angels
Explain your No on Los Angeles Angels
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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