Bitcoin all time high by ___? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Fed rate hike in 2026? Next Prime Minister of Sweden Trump out as President before 2027? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? NBA: 2027 Champion World Cup Winner Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

elcabesabe 💎

@elcabesabe Public

8
followers: 8
following
Joined May 2026

Reputation

-156

Predictive quality

Rep / forecast

-10.4

Average across 15 scored forecasts.

Unrealized reputation

Estimated if you closed every open forecast at current market probabilities.

Popularity

Social engagement

Predictions

1 open · 7 correct · 7 incorrect

Accuracy

50%

0-day streak Best: 1 days

Rep Level 1 · Rookie -156 / 50 rep

Pop Level 1 · Newcomer 7 / 25 pop

Badges

Milestones earned from forecasts, accuracy, popularity, streaks, and challenge wins.

4/13

Founding Forecaster

One of the first 100 members of PredictStamp.

Earned Jul 8, 2026

First Forecast

Published your first prediction.

Earned May 29, 2026

Getting Serious

Published 10 predictions.

Earned Jun 19, 2026

Prolific Forecaster

Published 50 predictions.

Locked

On the Board

Got your first prediction right.

Earned May 31, 2026

Sharp Eye

Resolved 10 predictions correctly.

Locked

Crowd Favorite

Earned 100 popularity points.

Locked

Community Voice

Earned 500 popularity points.

Locked

Week Warrior

Reached a 7-day activity streak.

Locked

Unstoppable

Reached a 30-day activity streak.

Locked

First Victory

Won your first head-to-head challenge.

Locked

Challenge Champ

Won 5 head-to-head challenges.

Locked

Duel Legend

Won 10 head-to-head challenges.

Locked

Calibration

Hit rate by market-implied entry probability. A well-calibrated forecaster lands near the diagonal — winning ~30% of 30% calls and ~90% of 90% calls.

0–20%

0% (1)

20–40%

33% (3)

40–60%

0% (1)

60–80%

50% (4)

80–100%

80% (5)

Market-implied Actual accuracy

Expertise by category

Reputation and popularity broken down by topic — spot specialists in crypto, politics, sports, and more.

Reputation radar

Predictive quality per category

Popularity radar

Social engagement per category

Swipe to see all columns →

Category	Reputation	Popularity	Predictions	Leaderboards
Crypto	0	0	1 · 1/1 correct	Rep · Pop
Economy	0	0	0	Rep · Pop
Politics	0	0	0	Rep · Pop
Esports	0	0	0	Rep · Pop
Sports	-44	2	3 · 1/2 correct	Rep · Pop
FIFA World Cup 2026	-112	1	12 · 5/11 correct	Rep · Pop
Pop Culture	0	0	0	Rep · Pop
Science & Tech	0	0	0	Rep · Pop
World	0	0	0	Rep · Pop
Other	0	0	0	Rep · Pop

Track record

View all

Norway vs. Senegal

Closed Jun 23, 2026 · Entered Jun 21, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 23, 2026

Forecast: Draw

Entry

28%

Resolution

Norway

Realized

-28

Polymarket gave Draw 28% at forecast time · +72 if correct · −28 if wrong

Incorrect

France vs. Iraq

Closed Jun 23, 2026 · Entered Jun 21, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 22, 2026

Forecast: France

Entry

90%

Resolution

100%

France

Realized

+10

Polymarket gave France 90% at forecast time · +10 if correct · −90 if wrong

Correct

Argentina vs. Austria

Closed Jun 22, 2026 · Entered Jun 21, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 22, 2026

Forecast: Argentina

Entry

64%

Resolution

100%

Argentina

Realized

+36

Polymarket gave Argentina 64% at forecast time · +36 if correct · −64 if wrong

Correct

New Zealand vs. Egypt

Closed Jun 22, 2026 · Entered Jun 21, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 22, 2026

Forecast: Egypt

Entry

62%

Resolution

100%

Egypt

Realized

+38

Polymarket gave Egypt 62% at forecast time · +38 if correct · −62 if wrong

Correct

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde

Closed Jun 22, 2026 · Entered Jun 21, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 21, 2026

Forecast: Uruguay

Entry

68%

Resolution

Draw

Realized

-68

Polymarket gave Uruguay 68% at forecast time · +32 if correct · −68 if wrong

Incorrect

Belgium vs. IR Iran

Closed Jun 21, 2026 · Entered Jun 21, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 21, 2026

Forecast: Belgium

Entry

68%

Resolution

Draw

Realized

-68

Polymarket gave Belgium 68% at forecast time · +32 if correct · −68 if wrong

Incorrect

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia

Closed Jun 21, 2026 · Entered Jun 19, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 21, 2026

Forecast: Draw

Entry

Resolution

Spain

Realized

-8

Polymarket gave Draw 8% at forecast time · +92 if correct · −8 if wrong

Incorrect

Ecuador vs. Curaçao

Closed Jun 21, 2026 · Entered Jun 19, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 21, 2026

Forecast: Ecuador

Entry

88%

Resolution

Draw

Realized

-88

Polymarket gave Ecuador 88% at forecast time · +12 if correct · −88 if wrong

Incorrect

Netherlands vs. Sweden

Closed Jun 20, 2026 · Entered Jun 19, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 20, 2026

Forecast: Draw

Entry

24%

Resolution

Netherlands

Realized

-24

Polymarket gave Draw 24% at forecast time · +76 if correct · −24 if wrong

Incorrect

Bitcoin above ___ on June 20?

Closed Jun 20, 2026 · Entered Jun 19, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 20, 2026

Forecast: 54,000

Entry

100%

Resolution

100%

64,000

Realized

Polymarket gave 54,000 100% at forecast time · +0 if correct · −100 if wrong

Correct