Open
Polymarket
Bitcoin above ___ on June 20?
Top outcomes
54,000
99%
56,000
99%
58,000
99%
60,000
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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$74K Vol.
Closes Jun 20, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$74.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$74K Vol.
54,000
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
56,000
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Explain your Yes on 56,000
Explain your No on 56,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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58,000
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Explain your Yes on 58,000
Explain your No on 58,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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60,000
98% market probability
98%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 98%
+2 / −98
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 2%
+98 / −2
Explain your Yes on 60,000
Explain your No on 60,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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62,000
97% market probability
97%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 97%
+3 / −97
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 3%
+97 / −3
Explain your Yes on 62,000
Explain your No on 62,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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64,000
84% market probability
84%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 84%
+16 / −84
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 16%
+84 / −16
Explain your Yes on 64,000
Explain your No on 64,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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66,000
52% market probability
52%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 52%
+48 / −52
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 48%
+52 / −48
Explain your Yes on 66,000
Explain your No on 66,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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68,000
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
Explain your Yes on 68,000
Explain your No on 68,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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70,000
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on 70,000
Explain your No on 70,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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72,000
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 72,000
Explain your No on 72,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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74,000
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 74,000
Explain your No on 74,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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