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Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...? Brazil Presidential Election US strike on Mexico by...? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Next French Presidential Election US military action against Cuba by...? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 World Cup: Golden Ball Winner Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? F1 Drivers' Champion Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion
Resolved Politics Polymarket

Starmer out by...?

Top outcomes

July 31 100%
June 22 100%
June 23 100%
June 24 100%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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$38.2M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026
Resolved outcome: December 31

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All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$38.2M Vol.

July 31

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 22

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 23

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 24

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 25

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 26

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 30

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

August 31

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

October 31

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

December 31

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

May 15

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

May 19

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

May 31

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 15

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 21

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

April 30

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

March 31

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

February 28

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

December 31, 2025

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this market is no longer accepting forecasts.

Public forecast history

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No forecasts were placed before this market closed.