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Starmer out by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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$30.0M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2025

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$30.0m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$30.0M Vol.

December 31

68% market probability

68%

Yes 68% +32 / −68 No 31% +69 / −31

July 31

30% market probability

30%

Yes 30% +70 / −30 No 70% +30 / −70

June 30

14% market probability

14%

Yes 14% +86 / −14 No 86% +14 / −86

June 15

4% market probability

Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

May 31

1% market probability

Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Public forecast history

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