Open
Polymarket
World Cup: Golden Ball Winner
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Player A
50%
Player B
50%
Player C
50%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$48.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$48K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Lamine Yamal
12% market probability
12%
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
No 88%
+12 / −88
Kylian Mbappé
10% market probability
10%
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
No 90%
+10 / −90
Michael Olise
9% market probability
9%
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
No 91%
+9 / −91
Harry Kane
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Lionel Messi
8% market probability
8%
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
No 92%
+8 / −92
Bruno Fernandes
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Pedri
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Ousmane Dembélé
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Vinícius Jr.
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Vitinha
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Florian Wirtz
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Cristiano Ronaldo
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Rayan Cherki
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Erling Haaland
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Jude Bellingham
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Declan Rice
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Bukayo Saka
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Rodri
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Neymar
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Gavi
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
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