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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Top outcomes

Harry Kane 26%
Lamine Yamal 14%
Ousmane Dembélé 12%
Vitinha 11%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

$4.0M Vol. Closes Oct 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$4.0m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$4.0M Vol.

Harry Kane

26% market probability

26%
Yes 26% +74 / −26 No 74% +26 / −74

Lamine Yamal

14% market probability

14%
Yes 14% +86 / −14 No 86% +14 / −86

Ousmane Dembélé

12% market probability

12%
Yes 12% +88 / −12 No 88% +12 / −88

Vitinha

11% market probability

11%
Yes 11% +89 / −11 No 89% +11 / −89

Michael Olise

10% market probability

10%
Yes 10% +90 / −10 No 90% +10 / −90

Kylian Mbappé

8% market probability

8%
Yes 8% +92 / −8 No 92% +8 / −92

Declan Rice

4% market probability

4%
Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

Bruno Fernandes

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Desire Doue

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Cristiano Ronaldo

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Erling Haaland

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Vinícius Júnior

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Raphinha

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Lautaro Martinez

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Pedri

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Achraf Hakimi

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Luis Diaz

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Julian Alvarez

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Cole Palmer

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Mohamed Salah

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Federico Valverde

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Jude Bellingham

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Dominik Szoboszlai

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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