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Polymarket
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Top outcomes
Harry Kane
41%
Lamine Yamal
26%
Kylian Mbappé
12%
Rodri
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
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$21.1M Vol.
Closes Oct 31, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$21.1m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$21.1M Vol.
Harry Kane
41% market probability
41%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 41%
+59 / −41
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 59%
+41 / −59
Lamine Yamal
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
Explain your Yes on Lamine Yamal
Explain your No on Lamine Yamal
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kylian Mbappé
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Kylian Mbappé
Explain your No on Kylian Mbappé
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rodri
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Rodri
Explain your No on Rodri
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lionel Messi
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Lionel Messi
Explain your No on Lionel Messi
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ousmane Dembélé
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Ousmane Dembélé
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pau Cubarsi
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Pau Cubarsi
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Fabian Ruiz
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Fabian Ruiz
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Erling Haaland
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Erling Haaland
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Michael Olise
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Michael Olise
Explain your No on Michael Olise
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jude Bellingham
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jude Bellingham
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pedri
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Pedri
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Vitinha
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Vitinha
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Raphinha
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Raphinha
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Luis Diaz
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Luis Diaz
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cole Palmer
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Cole Palmer
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Declan Rice
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Declan Rice
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Desire Doue
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Desire Doue
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Achraf Hakimi
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Achraf Hakimi
Explain your No on Achraf Hakimi
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mohamed Salah
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Mohamed Salah
Explain your No on Mohamed Salah
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Julian Alvarez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Julian Alvarez
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bruno Fernandes
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Bruno Fernandes
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lautaro Martinez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Lautaro Martinez
Explain your No on Lautaro Martinez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cristiano Ronaldo
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Cristiano Ronaldo
Explain your No on Cristiano Ronaldo
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Federico Valverde
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Federico Valverde
Explain your No on Federico Valverde
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Vinícius Júnior
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Vinícius Júnior
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rodrygo
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Rodrygo
Explain your No on Rodrygo
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bukayo Saka
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Bukayo Saka
Explain your No on Bukayo Saka
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Enzo Fernandez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Enzo Fernandez
Explain your No on Enzo Fernandez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dominik Szoboszlai
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Dominik Szoboszlai
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
Forecast
Lionel Messi
· Polymarket 45%
· +55 /−45
Exited forecast, -1 reputation realized
Exited
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