Closed Aug 20, 2026 · Entered Jul 23, 2026 Verified record · Closes Oct 21, 2026
Forecast: No
Entry
98%
Exit
99%
Realized
+1
Polymarket gave No 98% at forecast time · +2 if correct · −98 if wrong
Reputation
1000
Predictive qualityRep / forecast
8.33
Average across 120 scored forecasts.
Unrealized reputation
+21
Estimated if you closed every open forecast at current market probabilities.
Popularity
92
Social engagementPredictions
124
4 open · 86 correct · 17 incorrect
Accuracy
83%
Milestones earned from forecasts, accuracy, popularity, streaks, and challenge wins.
One of the first 100 members of PredictStamp.
Earned Jul 8, 2026
Published your first prediction.
Earned May 29, 2026
Published 10 predictions.
Earned 12× · latest Aug 1, 2026
Published 50 predictions.
Earned 2× · latest Jul 16, 2026
Got your first prediction right.
Earned Jun 1, 2026
Resolved 10 predictions correctly.
Earned 9× · latest Jul 23, 2026
Earned 100 popularity points.
Locked
Earned 500 popularity points.
Locked
Reached a 7-day activity streak.
Earned 3× · latest Jul 23, 2026
Reached a 30-day activity streak.
Locked
Won your first head-to-head challenge.
Locked
Won 5 head-to-head challenges.
Locked
Won 10 head-to-head challenges.
Locked
Hit rate by market-implied entry probability. A well-calibrated forecaster lands near the diagonal — winning ~30% of 30% calls and ~90% of 90% calls.
0–20%
— (0)
20–40%
50% (4)
40–60%
71% (14)
60–80%
85% (34)
80–100%
88% (51)
Reputation and popularity broken down by topic — spot specialists in crypto, politics, sports, and more.
Reputation radar
Predictive quality per category
Popularity radar
Social engagement per category
Swipe to see all columns →
| Category | Reputation | Popularity | Predictions | Leaderboards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 19 | 1 | 8 · 5/5 correct | Rep · Pop |
| Economy | 0 | 0 | 0 | Rep · Pop |
| Politics | -58 | 0 | 2 · 1/2 correct | Rep · Pop |
| Esports | -34 | 0 | 4 · 3/4 correct | Rep · Pop |
| Sports | 1276 | 5 | 70 · 59/64 correct | Rep · Pop |
| FIFA World Cup 2026 | -218 | 4 | 34 · 22/33 correct | Rep · Pop |
| Pop Culture | 5 | 0 | 1 · 1/1 correct | Rep · Pop |
| Science & Tech | 0 | 0 | 0 | Rep · Pop |
| World | 0 | 0 | 0 | Rep · Pop |
| Other | 10 | 0 | 5 · 5/5 correct | Rep · Pop |
Closed Aug 20, 2026 · Entered Jul 23, 2026 Verified record · Closes Oct 21, 2026
Forecast: No
Entry
98%
Exit
99%
Realized
+1
Polymarket gave No 98% at forecast time · +2 if correct · −98 if wrong
Closed Aug 20, 2026 · Entered Aug 19, 2026 Verified record · Closes Aug 20, 2026
Forecast: United Kingdom
Entry
96%
Resolution
100%
United Kingdom
Realized
+4
Polymarket gave United Kingdom 96% at forecast time · +4 if correct · −96 if wrong
Closed Aug 19, 2026 · Entered Aug 18, 2026 Verified record · Closes Aug 18, 2026
Forecast: CA Boca Juniors
Entry
62%
Resolution
100%
CA Boca Juniors
Realized
+38
Polymarket gave CA Boca Juniors 62% at forecast time · +38 if correct · −62 if wrong
Closed Aug 1, 2026 · Entered Aug 1, 2026 Verified record · Closes Aug 8, 2026
Forecast: Adam Walton
Entry
86%
Resolution
100%
Adam Walton
Realized
+14
Polymarket gave Adam Walton 86% at forecast time · +14 if correct · −86 if wrong
Closed Aug 1, 2026 · Entered Aug 1, 2026 Verified record · Closes Aug 8, 2026
Forecast: Tatjana Maria
Entry
95%
Resolution
100%
Tatjana Maria
Realized
+5
Polymarket gave Tatjana Maria 95% at forecast time · +5 if correct · −95 if wrong
Closed Aug 1, 2026 · Entered Aug 1, 2026 Verified record · Closes Aug 8, 2026
Forecast: Jan Choinski
Entry
72%
Resolution
100%
Jan Choinski
Realized
+28
Polymarket gave Jan Choinski 72% at forecast time · +28 if correct · −72 if wrong
Closed Jul 27, 2026 · Entered Jul 26, 2026 Verified record · Closes Aug 2, 2026
Forecast: Yes
Entry
55%
Resolution
0%
No
Realized
-55
Polymarket gave Yes 55% at forecast time · +45 if correct · −55 if wrong
Closed Jul 26, 2026 · Entered Jul 26, 2026 Verified record · Closes Aug 2, 2026
Forecast: Mclaren Mastercard
Entry
59%
Resolution
0%
Red Bull
Realized
-59
Polymarket gave Mclaren Mastercard 59% at forecast time · +41 if correct · −59 if wrong
Closed Jul 23, 2026 · Entered Jul 23, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 23, 2026
Forecast: Motherwell FC
Entry
88%
Resolution
100%
Motherwell FC
Realized
+12
Polymarket gave Motherwell FC 88% at forecast time · +12 if correct · −88 if wrong
Closed Jul 23, 2026 · Entered Jul 22, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 23, 2026
Forecast: CA Lanús
Entry
76%
Resolution
100%
CA Lanús
Realized
+24
Polymarket gave CA Lanús 76% at forecast time · +24 if correct · −76 if wrong
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