Closed Jul 26, 2026 · Entered Jul 26, 2026 Verified record · Closes Aug 2, 2026
Forecast: Lewis Hamilton
Entry
64%
Exit
71%
Realized
+6
Polymarket gave Lewis Hamilton 64% at forecast time · +36 if correct · −64 if wrong
Reputation
211
Predictive qualityRep / forecast
2.54
Average across 83 scored forecasts.
Unrealized reputation
0
Estimated if you closed every open forecast at current market probabilities.
Popularity
51
Social engagementPredictions
88
5 open · 36 correct · 31 incorrect
Accuracy
54%
Milestones earned from forecasts, accuracy, popularity, streaks, and challenge wins.
One of the first 100 members of PredictStamp.
Earned Jul 8, 2026
Published your first prediction.
Earned Jun 3, 2026
Published 10 predictions.
Earned 8× · latest Jul 25, 2026
Published 50 predictions.
Earned Jun 28, 2026
Got your first prediction right.
Earned Jun 11, 2026
Resolved 10 predictions correctly.
Earned 4× · latest Jul 26, 2026
Earned 100 popularity points.
Locked
Earned 500 popularity points.
Locked
Reached a 7-day activity streak.
Locked
Reached a 30-day activity streak.
Locked
Won your first head-to-head challenge.
Locked
Won 5 head-to-head challenges.
Locked
Won 10 head-to-head challenges.
Locked
Hit rate by market-implied entry probability. A well-calibrated forecaster lands near the diagonal — winning ~30% of 30% calls and ~90% of 90% calls.
0–20%
0% (6)
20–40%
26% (19)
40–60%
73% (15)
60–80%
75% (20)
80–100%
71% (7)
Reputation and popularity broken down by topic — spot specialists in crypto, politics, sports, and more.
Reputation radar
Predictive quality per category
Popularity radar
Social engagement per category
Swipe to see all columns →
| Category | Reputation | Popularity | Predictions | Leaderboards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 0 | 0 | 0 | Rep · Pop |
| Economy | 0 | 0 | 0 | Rep · Pop |
| Politics | 18 | 2 | 2 · 1/1 correct | Rep · Pop |
| Esports | 0 | 0 | 0 | Rep · Pop |
| Sports | 233 | 4 | 31 · 12/25 correct | Rep · Pop |
| FIFA World Cup 2026 | -40 | 5 | 55 · 28/53 correct | Rep · Pop |
| Pop Culture | 0 | 0 | 0 | Rep · Pop |
| Science & Tech | 0 | 0 | 0 | Rep · Pop |
| World | 0 | 0 | 0 | Rep · Pop |
| Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | Rep · Pop |
Closed Jul 26, 2026 · Entered Jul 26, 2026 Verified record · Closes Aug 2, 2026
Forecast: Lewis Hamilton
Entry
64%
Exit
71%
Realized
+6
Polymarket gave Lewis Hamilton 64% at forecast time · +36 if correct · −64 if wrong
Closed Jul 26, 2026 · Entered Jul 26, 2026 Verified record · Closes Aug 2, 2026
Forecast: Lewis Hamilton
Entry
20%
Exit
22%
Realized
+2
Polymarket gave Lewis Hamilton 20% at forecast time · +80 if correct · −20 if wrong
Closed Jul 26, 2026 · Entered Jul 26, 2026 Verified record · Closes Aug 2, 2026
Forecast: Charles Leclerc
Entry
28%
Exit
12%
Realized
-17
Polymarket gave Charles Leclerc 28% at forecast time · +72 if correct · −28 if wrong
Closed Jul 26, 2026 · Entered Jul 25, 2026 Verified record · Closes Aug 2, 2026
Forecast: Lewis Hamilton
Entry
35%
Exit
18%
Realized
-18
Polymarket gave Lewis Hamilton 35% at forecast time · +65 if correct · −35 if wrong
Closed Jul 25, 2026 · Entered Jul 25, 2026 Verified record · Closes Aug 1, 2026
Forecast: Lewis Hamilton
Entry
32%
Exit
36%
Realized
+4
Polymarket gave Lewis Hamilton 32% at forecast time · +68 if correct · −32 if wrong
Closed Jul 25, 2026 · Entered Jul 25, 2026 Verified record · Closes Aug 2, 2026
Forecast: Lando Norris
Entry
23%
Exit
23%
Realized
+0
Polymarket gave Lando Norris 23% at forecast time · +77 if correct · −23 if wrong
Closed Jul 25, 2026 · Entered Jul 25, 2026 Verified record · Closes Aug 2, 2026
Forecast: Lewis Hamilton
Entry
35%
Exit
35%
Realized
+0
Polymarket gave Lewis Hamilton 35% at forecast time · +65 if correct · −35 if wrong
Closed Jul 19, 2026 · Entered Jul 17, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 19, 2026
Forecast: Argentina
Entry
26%
Resolution
0%
Draw
Realized
-26
Polymarket gave Argentina 26% at forecast time · +74 if correct · −26 if wrong
Closed Jul 19, 2026 · Entered Jul 19, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 26, 2026
Forecast: Charles Leclerc
Entry
32%
Resolution
0%
Kimi Antonelli
Realized
-32
Polymarket gave Charles Leclerc 32% at forecast time · +68 if correct · −32 if wrong
Closed Jul 19, 2026 · Entered Jul 17, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 26, 2026
Forecast: Max Verstappen
Entry
58%
Resolution
100%
Charles Leclerc
Realized
+42
Polymarket gave Max Verstappen 58% at forecast time · +42 if correct · −58 if wrong
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