Resolved Politics Polymarket

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

Top outcomes

July 31 100%
June 21 100%
June 30 100%
May 5 0%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

$58.3M Vol. Closed Jun 20, 2026
Resolved outcome: July 31

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All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$58.3M Vol.

July 31

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 21

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

June 30

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

May 5

0% market probability

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Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 3

0% market probability

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Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 7

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May 15

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May 22

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May 28

0% market probability

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May 31

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Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

June 10

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June 13

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June 14

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June 15

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June 16

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June 17

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June 18

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June 19

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April 15

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April 16

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April 17

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April 18

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April 19

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April 20

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April 21

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April 22

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April 23

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April 24

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April 25

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April 26

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April 27

0% market probability

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April 28

0% market probability

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Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

April 29

0% market probability

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Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

April 30

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

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