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Open Sports Polymarket

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Top outcomes

Kylian Mbappe 14%

Harry Kane 12%

Mikel Oyarzabal 8%

Erling Haaland 6%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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$4.5M Vol. Closes Jul 20, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$4.5m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$4.5M Vol.

Kylian Mbappe

14% market probability

14%

Yes 14% +86 / −14 No 86% +14 / −86

Harry Kane

12% market probability

12%

Yes 12% +88 / −12 No 88% +12 / −88

Mikel Oyarzabal

8% market probability

Yes 8% +92 / −8 No 92% +8 / −92

Erling Haaland

6% market probability

Yes 6% +94 / −6 No 94% +6 / −94

Michael Olise

5% market probability

Yes 5% +95 / −5 No 95% +5 / −95

Julian Alvarez

4% market probability

Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

Cristiano Ronaldo

4% market probability

Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

Lionel Messi

4% market probability

Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

Lamine Yamal

3% market probability

Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

Raphinha

3% market probability

Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

Vinicius Junior

3% market probability

Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

Ousmane Dembele

2% market probability

Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Cody Gakpo

2% market probability

Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Lautaro Martinez

2% market probability

Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Igor Thiago

2% market probability

Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Ferran Torres

2% market probability

Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Luis Diaz

1% market probability

Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Deniz Undav

1% market probability

Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Bruno Fernandes

1% market probability

Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Depay Memphis

1% market probability

Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Viktor Gyökeres

1% market probability

Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Luis Javier Suárez

1% market probability

Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Desire Doue

1% market probability

Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Mohamed Salah

1% market probability

Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Dani Olmo

0% market probability