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Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Next French Presidential Election Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? What price will Bitcoin hit in July? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? F1 Constructors' Champion Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026? US military action against Cuba by...? Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? NBA: 2027 Champion 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) California Governor Election Winner
Resolved World Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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$12.0M Vol. Closed Jun 30, 2026

Live odds

No 100%
Yes 0%
Resolved outcome: No

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