Open Politics Polymarket

Berlin State Election Winner

Top outcomes

Linke 35%
Grüne 26%
AfD 21%
CDU 16%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

$3.0M Vol. Closes Sep 20, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$3.0m Vol.

All outcomes

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$3.0M Vol.

Linke

35% market probability

35%

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0 / 2,000

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Grüne

26% market probability

26%

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0 / 2,000

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AfD

21% market probability

21%

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0 / 2,000

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CDU

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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SPD

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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FW

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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BSW

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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FDP

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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