Open World Polymarket

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”. For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

$7.6M Vol. Closes Jun 30, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$7.6m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$7.6M Vol.

Pakistan

51% market probability

51%
Yes 51% +49 / −51 No 49% +51 / −49

No Meeting by June 30

29% market probability

29%
Yes 29% +71 / −29 No 71% +29 / −71

Switzerland

6% market probability

6%
Yes 6% +94 / −6 No 94% +6 / −94

Qatar

5% market probability

5%
Yes 5% +95 / −5 No 95% +5 / −95

Oman

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Other

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

USA

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Turkey

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Egypt

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Russia

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Austria

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Saudi Arabia

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

UAE

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Iran

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Iraq

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Italy

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Kazakhstan

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Other - Europe

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Other - Middle East/North Africa

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Log in to place your forecast on this event.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.