Resolved Politics Polymarket

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Top outcomes

Switzerland 100%
UAE 0%
USA 0%
Iran 0%

This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”. For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

$16.5M Vol. Closed Jun 30, 2026
Resolved outcome: Switzerland

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All outcomes

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$16.5M Vol.

Switzerland

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

UAE

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

USA

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Iran

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Iraq

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Oman

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Egypt

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Italy

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Other

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Qatar

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Russia

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Turkey

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Austria

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Pakistan

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Kazakhstan

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Saudi Arabia

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Other - Europe

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

No Meeting by June 30

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Other - Middle East/North Africa

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

Public forecast history

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PepeCofi 💎 @PepeCofi · Verified record
Forecast No Meeting by June 30 · Polymarket 49% · +51/−49

✗ Incorrect forecast

Incorrect

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