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Open Politics Polymarket

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Top outcomes

June 30, 2027 48%
December 31 22%
September 30 14%
July 15 1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

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$2.8M Vol. Closes Jun 30, 2027

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$2.8m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$2.8M Vol.

June 30, 2027

48% market probability

48%

Explain your Yes on June 30, 2027 Explain your No on June 30, 2027 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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December 31

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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September 30

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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July 15

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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March 31

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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February 28

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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