Closed Aug 28, 2026 · Entered May 31, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jan 1, 2027
Forecast: 8–10
Entry
12%
Resolution
0%
Realized
-12
Polymarket gave 8–10 12% at forecast time · +88 if correct · −12 if wrong
Reputation
257
Predictive qualityRep / forecast
6.12
Average across 42 scored forecasts.
Unrealized reputation
+52
Estimated if you closed every open forecast at current market probabilities.
Popularity
30
Social engagementPredictions
45
3 open · 21 correct · 19 incorrect
Accuracy
52%
Milestones earned from forecasts, accuracy, popularity, streaks, and challenge wins.
One of the first 100 members of PredictStamp.
Earned Jul 8, 2026
Published your first prediction.
Earned May 31, 2026
Published 10 predictions.
Earned 4× · latest Jun 23, 2026
Published 50 predictions.
Locked
Got your first prediction right.
Earned Jun 8, 2026
Resolved 10 predictions correctly.
Earned 2× · latest Jul 18, 2026
Earned 100 popularity points.
Locked
Earned 500 popularity points.
Locked
Reached a 7-day activity streak.
Locked
Reached a 30-day activity streak.
Locked
Won your first head-to-head challenge.
Locked
Won 5 head-to-head challenges.
Locked
Won 10 head-to-head challenges.
Locked
Hit rate by market-implied entry probability. A well-calibrated forecaster lands near the diagonal — winning ~30% of 30% calls and ~90% of 90% calls.
0–20%
33% (3)
20–40%
47% (19)
40–60%
33% (6)
60–80%
80% (5)
80–100%
71% (7)
Reputation and popularity broken down by topic — spot specialists in crypto, politics, sports, and more.
Reputation radar
Predictive quality per category
Popularity radar
Social engagement per category
Swipe to see all columns →
| Category | Reputation | Popularity | Predictions | Leaderboards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 0 | 0 | 0 | Rep · Pop |
| Economy | 20 | 0 | 1 · 1/1 correct | Rep · Pop |
| Politics | -31 | 2 | 4 · 1/2 correct | Rep · Pop |
| Esports | 0 | 0 | 0 | Rep · Pop |
| Sports | -17 | 6 | 11 · 5/10 correct | Rep · Pop |
| FIFA World Cup 2026 | 248 | 1 | 22 · 12/22 correct | Rep · Pop |
| Pop Culture | 0 | 0 | 0 | Rep · Pop |
| Science & Tech | -12 | 2 | 2 · 0/1 correct | Rep · Pop |
| World | 0 | 0 | 1 | Rep · Pop |
| Other | 49 | 1 | 4 · 2/4 correct | Rep · Pop |
Closed Aug 28, 2026 · Entered May 31, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jan 1, 2027
Forecast: 8–10
Entry
12%
Resolution
0%
Realized
-12
Polymarket gave 8–10 12% at forecast time · +88 if correct · −12 if wrong
Closed Jul 19, 2026 · Entered Jul 18, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 19, 2026
Forecast: Draw
Entry
32%
Resolution
100%
Draw
Realized
+68
Polymarket gave Draw 32% at forecast time · +68 if correct · −32 if wrong
Closed Jul 18, 2026 · Entered Jul 18, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 18, 2026
Forecast: England
Entry
24%
Resolution
100%
England
Realized
+76
Polymarket gave England 24% at forecast time · +76 if correct · −24 if wrong
Closed Jul 7, 2026 · Entered Jun 12, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 30, 2026
Forecast: No
Entry
80%
Resolution
100%
No
Realized
+20
Polymarket gave No 80% at forecast time · +20 if correct · −80 if wrong
Closed Jul 1, 2026 · Entered May 31, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 30, 2026
Forecast: No
Entry
84%
Resolution
100%
No
Realized
+16
Polymarket gave No 84% at forecast time · +16 if correct · −84 if wrong
Closed Jul 1, 2026 · Entered Jun 29, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jul 1, 2026
Forecast: Ecuador
Entry
24%
Resolution
0%
Mexico
Realized
-24
Polymarket gave Ecuador 24% at forecast time · +76 if correct · −24 if wrong
Closed Jun 30, 2026 · Entered Jun 29, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 30, 2026
Forecast: Côte d'Ivoire
Entry
26%
Resolution
0%
Norway
Realized
-26
Polymarket gave Côte d'Ivoire 26% at forecast time · +74 if correct · −26 if wrong
Closed Jun 30, 2026 · Entered Jun 29, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 30, 2026
Forecast: Netherlands
Entry
40%
Resolution
0%
Draw
Realized
-40
Polymarket gave Netherlands 40% at forecast time · +60 if correct · −40 if wrong
Closed Jun 24, 2026 · Entered Jun 1, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 21, 2026
Forecast: Abelardo de la Espriella
Entry
82%
Resolution
100%
Abelardo de la Espriella
Realized
+18
Polymarket gave Abelardo de la Espriella 82% at forecast time · +18 if correct · −82 if wrong
Closed Jun 24, 2026 · Entered Jun 2, 2026 Verified record · Closes Jun 25, 2026
Forecast: AJ Dybantsa
Entry
76%
Resolution
100%
AJ Dybantsa
Realized
+24
Polymarket gave AJ Dybantsa 76% at forecast time · +24 if correct · −76 if wrong
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