Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? NFL Champion 2027 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? World Cup: Nation to Reach Final Putin out as President of Russia by...? 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? F1 Constructors' Champion World Cup Winner Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? NFL Champion 2027 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? World Cup: Nation to Reach Final Putin out as President of Russia by...? 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? F1 Constructors' Champion World Cup Winner Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Forecasts closed Politics Polymarket

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Top outcomes

Karen Bass 64%
Nithya Raman 37%
Rick Caruso 0%
Asaad Alnajjar 0%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

View on Polymarket
$12.9M Vol. Closed Jun 2, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$12.9m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$12.9M Vol.

Karen Bass

64% market probability

64%
Yes 64% +36 / −64 No 36% +64 / −36

Nithya Raman

37% market probability

37%
Yes 37% +63 / −37 No 63% +37 / −63

Rick Caruso

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Asaad Alnajjar

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Gina Viola

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Spencer Pratt

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Austin Beutner

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Lindsey Horvath

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Monica Rodriguez

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Rae Huang

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Adam Miller

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

TheBagHodler 💎 · Verified record
Forecast Karen Bass · Polymarket 64% · +36/−64

Exited forecast, -4 reputation realized

Exited

Discussion

Debate this forecast — likes on comments earn Popularity for the author

Log in to comment on this forecast.

No comments yet.