Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Epstein client list released by...? Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Los Angeles Mayoral Election Xi Jinping out before 2027? Anthropic IPO by __? Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Netanyahu out by...? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Crude Oil all time high by...? Presidential Election Winner 2028 US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Epstein client list released by...? Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Los Angeles Mayoral Election Xi Jinping out before 2027? Anthropic IPO by __? Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Netanyahu out by...? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Crude Oil all time high by...? Presidential Election Winner 2028 US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year
Open Politics Polymarket

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Top outcomes

Nithya Raman 54%
Karen Bass 46%
Rick Caruso 0%
Asaad Alnajjar 0%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

View on Polymarket
$15.4M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$15.4m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$15.4M Vol.

Nithya Raman

54% market probability

54%

Explain your Yes on Nithya Raman Explain your No on Nithya Raman (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Karen Bass

46% market probability

46%

Explain your Yes on Karen Bass Explain your No on Karen Bass (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Rick Caruso

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Rick Caruso Explain your No on Rick Caruso (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Asaad Alnajjar

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Asaad Alnajjar Explain your No on Asaad Alnajjar (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Gina Viola

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Gina Viola Explain your No on Gina Viola (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Spencer Pratt

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Spencer Pratt Explain your No on Spencer Pratt (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Austin Beutner

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Austin Beutner Explain your No on Austin Beutner (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Lindsey Horvath

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Lindsey Horvath Explain your No on Lindsey Horvath (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Monica Rodriguez

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Monica Rodriguez Explain your No on Monica Rodriguez (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Rae Huang

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Rae Huang Explain your No on Rae Huang (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Adam Miller

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Adam Miller Explain your No on Adam Miller (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

TheBagHodler 💎 · Verified record
Forecast Karen Bass · Polymarket 64% · +36/−64

Exited forecast, -4 reputation realized

Exited

Discussion

Debate this forecast — likes on comments earn Popularity for the author

Log in to comment on this forecast.

No comments yet.