Open
Politics
Polymarket
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Top outcomes
Karen Bass
64%
Nithya Raman
35%
Rick Caruso
0%
Asaad Alnajjar
0%
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
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$13.5M Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$13.5m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$13.5M Vol.
Karen Bass
64% market probability
64%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 64%
+36 / −64
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 36%
+64 / −36
Nithya Raman
35% market probability
35%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 35%
+65 / −35
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 65%
+35 / −65
Explain your Yes on Nithya Raman
Explain your No on Nithya Raman
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rick Caruso
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Rick Caruso
Explain your No on Rick Caruso
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Asaad Alnajjar
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Asaad Alnajjar
Explain your No on Asaad Alnajjar
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gina Viola
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Gina Viola
Explain your No on Gina Viola
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Spencer Pratt
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Spencer Pratt
Explain your No on Spencer Pratt
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Austin Beutner
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Austin Beutner
Explain your No on Austin Beutner
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lindsey Horvath
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Lindsey Horvath
Explain your No on Lindsey Horvath
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Monica Rodriguez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Monica Rodriguez
Explain your No on Monica Rodriguez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rae Huang
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Rae Huang
Explain your No on Rae Huang
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Adam Miller
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Adam Miller
Explain your No on Adam Miller
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
Forecast
Karen Bass
· Polymarket 64%
· +36 /−64
Exited forecast, -4 reputation realized
Exited
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