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All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket and Kalshi, no betting.

All categories 0 0 (0 bps) ↓ 1,000 ↓ 10,000 ↑ 100,000 ↑ 1,000,000 100-110mm 100-119 <100mm 10 (250 bps) ↑ 105,000 <1.0T 1.0T–1.2T ↑ 110,000 1.10–1.14ºC 110-120mm <1.10ºC 11 (275 bps) ↑ 115,000 1.15–1.19ºC 115-139 ↓ 1,200 ↑ 120,000 1.20–1.24ºC 120-139 12+ (300+ bps) 1.25–1.29ºC 1 (25 bps) >1.29ºC 1.2T–1.4T ↑ 130,000 140 ↓ 1,400 ↑ 140,000 140-159 140-164 1.4T–1.6T ↓ 15,000 ↑ 150,000 ↓ 1,600 1,600 ↑ 160,000 160-179 165-189 1.6T–1.8T 1,700 ↑ 170,000 ↓ 1,800 1,800 ↑ 180,000 180-199 1.8T–2.0T 1,900 ↑ 190,000 190-214 1M+ 1st hottest <20 20+ 2000 ↓ 2,000 2,000 ↓ 20,000 ↑ 200,000 2,000-2,100 200-219 $200M 20-39 2.0T+ 2,100 215-239 2200 2,200 220-239 2,300 240+ 2400 2,400 240-259 2,500 ↓ 25,000 ↑ 250,000 2 (50 bps) 25 bps decrease 25 bps increase ↑ 2,600 2,600 260-279 26°C or higher ↑ 2,800 280-299 2nd hottest ↑ 3,000 ↓ 30,000 300-319 ↑ 3,200 320-339 ↑ 3,400 340-359 ↓ 35,000 ↑ 3,600 360-379 3 (75 bps) ↑ 3,800 380-399 3rd hottest <40 40+ ↓ 400 ↑ 4,000 ↓ 40,000 400-419 $400M 40-59 40-64 4 (100 bps) 420-439 440-459 ↓ 45,000 460-479 480-499 4th or lower 500+ ↑ 5,000 ↓ 5,000 ↓ 50,000 ↑ 500,000 50+ bps decrease 50+ bps increase $50M 5 (125 bps) ↓ 55,000 60+ ↓ 600 ↓ 60,000 60-79 6 (150 bps) ↓ 64,000 ↓ 65,000 65-89 ↓ 66,000 66,000 <68,000 ↓ 68,000 68,000 68,000-70,000 ↓ 69,000 7 ↓ 70,000 70,000 70,000-72,000 ↓ 71,000 7 (175 bps) ↓ 72,000 72,000 72,000-74,000 ↓ 72,500 ↓ 73,000 ↓ 74,000 74,000 74,000-76,000 ↑ 75,000 $755 76,000 76,000-78,000 ↑ 77,000 ↑ 77,500 ↑ 78,000 78,000 78,000-80,000 ↑ 79,000 8+ 80+ ↓ 800 ↑ 80,000 80,000 80,000-82,000 80-90 80-99 ↑ 81,000 ↑ 82,000 82,000 82,000-84,000 8 (200 bps) ↑ 83,000 ↑ 84,000 84,000 84,000-86,000 85% ↑ 85,000 >86,000 ↑ 86,000 86,000 ↑ 88,000 88,000 90% ↑ 90,000 90-114 ↑ 92,000 9 (225 bps) ↑ 95,000 Aalesunds FK Abbas Araghchi AC Monza Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani Ahmad Vahidi AI / Artificial Intelligence Aiemann Zahabi Alexander Albon Alexander Volkanovski Alexandre Pantoja Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Algeria Ali Asghar Hejazi Ali Motahari Alireza Arafi Alphabet Amazon América de Cali Amir Ohana Amorim to win by KO/TKO? Andorra Andrew Yang Andy Beshear Anthropic Any Player Penta Kill Any Player Quadra Kill Any Player Rampage Any Player Ultra Kill Apple Argentina Arsenal FC Arvid Lindblad Ass August 31 Australia Austria Avengers: Doomsday Avigdor Lieberman Ayelet Shaked Barack Obama Barcelona SC Before 2027 Belgium Benjamin Netanyahu Benny Gantz Bernie Sanders Beto O’Rourke Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia-Herzegovina Both Teams Beat Roshan Both Teams Destroy Barracks Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors Both Teams Slay a Dragon Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor Both Teams to Score Brazil Brian Kemp Broadcom by December 31, 2026 by June 30, 2026 Byron Donalds ByteDance CA Boca Juniors Canada Candace Owens Cape Verde Carlos Sainz Jr. CA Tigre CDP Junior FC CD Universidad Católica Charles Leclerc Charlie / Kirk 5+ times Chelsea Clinton Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5 Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5 Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5 Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5 Chris Murphy Club Alianza Atlético Club Cerro Porteño Colombia Company A Company B Company C Company D Company E Company F Company G Company H Company I Company J Company K Company L Company M Company N Company O Company P Company Q Company R Company S Company T Completed Match Congo DR Cory Booker Cory Sandhagen Croatia Crusaders Cruzeiro EC Crypto CS Cristal CSyD Macará Curaçao Czechia Databricks De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5 De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 December 31 December 31 December 31, 2026 December 31, 2027 Deiveson Figueiredo Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 0.5 Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5 Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5 Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 Discord Donald Trump Donald Trump Jr. Draw Draw (Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene) Draw (AC Monza vs. US Catanzaro 1929) Draw (América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará) Draw (Andorra vs. Iraq) Draw (Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia) Draw (CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica) Draw (CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético) Draw (Club Cerro Porteño vs. CS Cristal) Draw (Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC) Draw (Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) Draw (Egypt vs. Russia) Draw (El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Modern SC) Draw (Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start) Draw (IR Iran vs. Gambia) Draw (Ismaily SC vs. Pharco FC) Draw (KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Tromsø IL) Draw (Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC) Draw (Nice vs. Saint-Etienne) Draw (Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC) Draw (Petrojet SC vs. El Gouna SC) Draw (Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar) Draw (Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt) Draw (SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC) Draw (SK Brann vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF) Draw (South Africa vs. Nicaragua) Draw (Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Wadi Degla SC) Draw (Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK) Draw (ZED FC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC) Driver A Driver B Driver C Driver D Driver E Driver F Driver G Driver H Driver I Dune: Messiah Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson Economy Ecuador Egypt El Gouna SC Elise Stefanik El Mokawloon El Arab SC Elon Musk Ends in Daytime England Enrichment of Uranium Eric Trump Erika Kirk Esteban Ocon Exact Score: 0-0 Exact Score: 0-1 Exact Score: 0-2 Exact Score: 0-3 Exact Score: 1-0 Exact Score: 1-1 Exact Score: 1-2 Exact Score: 1-3 Exact Score: 2-0 Exact Score: 2-1 Exact Score: 2-2 Exact Score: 2-3 Exact Score: 3-0 Exact Score: 3-1 Exact Score: 3-2 Exact Score: 3-3 Exact Score: Any Other Score FBI February 28 Fernando Alonso Fighter A Fighter B Fighter C Fighter D Fighter E Fighter F Fighter G Fighter H Fighter I Fighter J Fighter K Fighter L Fighter M Fighter N Fighter O Fighter P Fighter Q Fighter R Fighter S Fighter T Fighter U Fighter V Fighter W Fighter X Fighter Y Fighter Z Fight to Go the Distance? Fight won by KO/TKO? Fight won by submission? FK Bodø/Glimt France Franco Colapinto Frank Donovan Fredrikstad FK Gabriel Bortoleto Gadi Eizenkot Gambia Gavin Newsom George Clooney George Russell Germany Ghana Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel Gideon Sa’ar Gina Raimondo Glenn Youngkin Graham Platner Greg Abbott Gretchen Whitmer Grigor Dimitrov Haiti Hamarkameratene Hassan Khomeini Hassan Rouhani Hassan Shariatmadari Henry to win by KO/TKO? Hillary Clinton Hunter Biden Hurricanes IK Start Iran Iraq Ireland IR Iran Isack Hadjar Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 0.5 Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 1.5 Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5 Ismaily SC Israel Katz Itamar Ben Gvir Ivanka Trump Ivory Coast Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5 Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5 Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5 Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5 Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5 Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5 Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 James Talarico Jamie Dimon January 31 Japan Jared McCain: Assists O/U 0.5 Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 0.5 Jared Polis Jasmine Crockett J.B. Pritzker JB Pritzker J.D. Vance JD Vance Joe Kent John Fetterman John Thune Jon Ossoff Jon Stewart Jordan Josh Hawley Josh Shapiro Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5 Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5 Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 July 31 June 15 June 3 June 30 June 30, 2026 June 7 Kahrabaa Ismailia FC Kamala Harris Katie Britt KFUM-Kameratene Oslo Kimi Antonelli Kim Kardashian Kraken Kristiansund BK Kristi Noem Lance Stroll Lando Norris LeBron James Lewis Hamilton Liam Lawson Liaoning Tieren FC Liz Cheney Lookboonmee to win by KO/TKO? Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5 Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 0.5 Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5 Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Marco Rubio Marjorie Taylor Greene Mark Cuban Mark Kelly Maryam Rajavi Masoud Pezeshkian Massoud Rajavi Matt Gaetz Max Verstappen May 24 May 25 May 26 May 27 May 28 May 29 May 30 May 31 May 31, 2026 Mexico Michael Michelle Obama Microsoft Mike Pence Minions & Monsters Mitchell to win by KO/TKO? Modern SC Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf Mohammad Khatami Mohsen Araki Mojtaba Khamenei Morocco Moshe Feiglin Mostafa Pourmohammadi Movie E Movie G Movie I Movie K Movie M Movie O MrBeast Muhammad Mirbaqiri Mustafa Hijri Naftali Bennett Nasir Hosseini Navid Shomali Netherlands NewJeans New York Knicks New Zealand Nicaragua Nice Nico Hülkenberg Nikki Haley Nir Barkat No change No Head of State No IPO before 2028 North Macedonia Norway NRFI NVIDIA o Oil Sanction Relief Oklahoma City Thunder Oliver Bearman OpenAI Oprah Winfrey Oscar Piastri Other p Panama Paraguay Paris Saint-Germain FC Payton Talbott Pedro Munhoz Perplexity AI Person AA Person AB Person AC Person AD Person AE Person AF Person AG Person AH Person AI Person AJ Person AK Person AL Person AM Person AN Person AO Person AP Person AQ Person AR Person AS Person AT Person AU Person AV Person AW Person AX Person AY Person AZ Person BA Person BB Person BC Person BD Person BE Person BF Person BG Person BH Person BI Person BJ Person BK Person BL Person BM Person BN Person BO Person BP Person BQ Person BR Person BS Person BT Person BU Person BV Person BW Person BX Person BY Person BZ Person CA Person CB Person CC Person CD Person CE Person CF Person CG Person CH Person CI Person CJ Person CK Person CL Person CM Person CN Person CO Person CP Person CQ Person CR Person CS Person CT Person CU Person CV Person CW Person CX Person CY Person CZ Person DA Person DB Person F Person G Person H Person I Person J Person K Person L Person M Person N Person O Person P Person Q Person R Person S Person T Person U Person V Person W Person X Person Y Person Z Pete Buttigieg Pete Hegseth Petrojet SC Petr Yan Pharco FC Phil Murphy Pierre Gasly Placeholder A Placeholder AA Placeholder AB Placeholder AC Placeholder AD Placeholder AE Placeholder AF Placeholder AG Placeholder AH Placeholder AI Placeholder AJ Placeholder AK Placeholder AL Placeholder AM Placeholder AN Placeholder AO Placeholder AP Placeholder AQ Placeholder AR Placeholder AS Placeholder AT Placeholder AU Placeholder AV Placeholder AW Placeholder AX Placeholder AY Placeholder AZ Placeholder B Placeholder BA Placeholder BB Placeholder BC Placeholder BD Placeholder BE Placeholder BF Placeholder BG Placeholder BH Placeholder C Placeholder D Placeholder E Placeholder F Placeholder G Placeholder H Placeholder I Placeholder J Placeholder K Placeholder L Placeholder M Placeholder N Placeholder O Placeholder P Placeholder Q Placeholder R Placeholder S Placeholder T Placeholder U Placeholder V Placeholder W Placeholder X Placeholder Y Placeholder Z Politics Pop Culture Portugal Project Hail Mary q Qatar r Rahm Emanuel Rand Paul Raphael Warnock Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Republic of Ireland Revolut Reza Pahlavi Reza Pirzadeh Richard Grenell Ricky Simón Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Rob Font Ro Khanna Ron DeSantis Rosenborg BK Roy Cooper Ruben Gallego Russia s Sadegh Larijani Sadegh Mahsouli Saeed Jalili Saint-Etienne San Antonio Spurs Sarah Huckabee Sanders Sarpsborg 08 FF Saudi Arabia Saudi Aramco Science & Tech Scotland Scream 7 Sean O'Malley Senegal SE Palmeiras September 30 Sergio Perez Sergio Pérez Seyed Hossein Mousavian Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Shanghai Haigang FC SHEIN SK Brann Song Yadong South Africa South Korea SpaceX Spain Spider-Man: Brand New Day Sports Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu Stephen A. Smith Stephen Smith Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5 Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5 Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5 Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 Steve Bannon Stripe Sweden Switzerland t Tala'ea El Gaish SC Team AG Team AH Team AI Team AJ Team AK Team AL Team AM Team AN Team AO Ted Cruz Tesla The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping The Odyssey The Super Mario Galaxy Movie Thomas Massie Tim Walz Tom Brady Toy Story 5 Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz Tromsø IL Tucker Carlson Tulsi Gabbard Tunisia Turkiye Twice u Umar Nurmagomedov Unfreeze Iranian Assets Uruguay USA US Catanzaro 1929 Uzbekistan Vålerenga Fotball Valtteri Bottas Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5 Vivek Ramaswamy Wadi Degla SC Waymo Wes Moore Wicked: For Good World Wuthering Heights xAI Yair Golan Yair Lapid Yariv Levin Yoaz Hendel Yossi Cohen ZED FC Zohran Mamdani

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 88% Yes No
June 30, 2026 65% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$34.2M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 67% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 18% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$30.7M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Largest Company end of June?

NVIDIA 88% Yes No
Alphabet 9% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$16.6M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Largest Company end of May?

NVIDIA 100% Yes No
Alphabet 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$10.0M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in July?

No change 92% Yes No
25 bps increase 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$7.0M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 60% Yes No
Alphabet 22% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$3.0M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 39%
Yes 61%
$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed rate cut by...?

December Meeting 32% Yes No
October Meeting 22% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

20+ 18% Yes No
40+ 14% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US recession by end of 2026?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.25% 25% Yes No
↓ 3.0% 11% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 68%
Yes 32%
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

2nd largest company end of May?

Alphabet 96% Yes No
Apple 4% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Pause–Pause–Pause 97% Yes No
Pause–Pause–Cut 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 4% 98% Yes No
Above 4.5% 64% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$901K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Sam Altman - OpenAI 14% Yes No
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase 10% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$694K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

4.0–5.0% 78% Yes No
5.0–6.0% 22% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$684K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which banks will fail by June 30?

BNY 3% Yes No
Santander 3% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$511K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

25 bps Increase 94% Yes No
No change 5% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$488K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0% 30% Yes No
5.5% 17% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$416K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 16%
Yes 84%
$412K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

3rd largest company end of May?

Apple 93% Yes No
Alphabet 4% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$390K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

May Inflation US - Annual

4.3% 43% Yes No
4.2% 38% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$316K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$261K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of England decision in June?

No change 97% Yes No
25 bps increase 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$250K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.8% 22% Yes No
5.0% 14% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$236K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

3.9% 47% Yes No
3.8% 41% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$216K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

25 bps increase 86% Yes No
No change 14% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$207K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

↓ $4.25 3% Yes No
↑ $4.60 3% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$182K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Decrease 86% Yes No
No Change 14% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$175K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed rate hike by...?

October Meeting 26% Yes No
September Meeting 16% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$154K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$139K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by May 31?

↓ 1.7M 26% Yes No
↓ 1.6M 8% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$128K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

ECB rate hike in 2026?

No 3%
Yes 97%
$124K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

1.1m 98% Yes No
1.2m 78% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$112K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No 89%
Yes 11%
$105K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Rigetti 82% Yes No
D-Wave 76% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$95K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by June 5?

350M 72% Yes No
325M 4% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$94K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Canada recession before 2027?

No 7%
Yes 93%
$90K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in September?

No change 74% Yes No
25 bps increase 12% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$65K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49% 28% Yes No
5.50-5.99% 26% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$63K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

2nd largest company end of June?

Alphabet 53% Yes No
Apple 36% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$63K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

India Annual Inflation 2026

4.50%+ 84% Yes No
3.75% to 4.49% 7% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$61K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$57K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Russia decision in June?

Decrease 86% Yes No
No Change 14% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$56K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$53K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$52K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Pause–Pause–Pause 94% Yes No
Pause–Pause–Cut 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

No 73%
Yes 27%
$51K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

No 42%
Yes 57%
$51K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

↓ 5.90% 57% Yes No
↑ 6.75% 50% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$50K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Argentina Monthly Inflation - May

2.2–2.4% 48% Yes No
2.5–2.7% 31% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$48K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$47K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Canada decision in June?

No change 99% Yes No
25 bps decrease 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$45K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

China Annual Inflation 2026

1.1 – 1.5% 30% Yes No
-0.9 – -0.5% 26% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$43K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

4.50% to 4.99% 52% Yes No
2.50% to 2.99% 38% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$42K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$41K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

May Inflation US - Monthly

0.5% 48% Yes No
0.6% 24% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$40K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

4.6-4.9% 51% Yes No
4.9-5.2% 32% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$38K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$35K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

No Change 96% Yes No
Increase 4% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$32K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

No 42%
Yes 58%
$32K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?

1.5%–1.8% 97% Yes No
1.1%–1.4% 2% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$31K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Price of Dozen Eggs in May?

$2.00–$2.25 62% Yes No
$2.25–$2.50 35% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$29K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

GDP growth in 2026

>2.5% 42% Yes No
1.5–2.0% 18% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$29K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$29K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

ECB rate cut in 2026?

No 87%
Yes 13%
$28K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$28K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

0 65% Yes No
1 12% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$26K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Korea decision in July?

Increase 61% Yes No
No Change 35% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$24K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

BMO 11% Yes No
Truist 11% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$23K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

2.9-3.2% 46% Yes No
<2.6% 45% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$21K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

800–900B 45% Yes No
900B–1T 41% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$21K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$20K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

3rd largest company end of June?

Apple 55% Yes No
Alphabet 38% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$19K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

$7.000+ 76% Yes No
$8.000+ 61% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$19K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

<1600.00 53% Yes No
1600.00–1699.99 22% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$19K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

2026 World GDP Growth

≤2.9% 42% Yes No
3.0% 35% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$18K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

People's Bank of China rate change in May?

No Change 99% Yes No
Increase 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$17K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$17K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

2.5–2.9% 41% Yes No
4.0%+ 39% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US bank failure by May 31?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

No change 96% Yes No
Decrease 3% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$15K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$15K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

No 76%
Yes 24%
$13K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

3.1%+ 59% Yes No
<1.0% 40% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$13K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

$40 trillion 94% Yes No
$41 trillion 42% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$11K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

2.4% to 2.6% 37% Yes No
2.1% to 2.3% 36% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$11K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$11K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$10K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

25-29.9% 32% Yes No
30.0-34.9% 28% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$10K Vol.
Polymarket Economy