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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Iran leadership change by...? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Presidential Election Winner 2028 US strike on Mexico by...? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Fed rate hike in 2026? Fed Decision in July? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Netanyahu out by...? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? NBA: 2027 Champion Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Forecasts closed Economy Polymarket

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Top outcomes

$39 trillion 100%
$40 trillion 94%
$41 trillion 40%
$42 trillion 4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

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$11K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$11.4k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$11K Vol.

$39 trillion

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

$40 trillion

94% market probability

94%
Yes 94% +6 / −94 No 6% +94 / −6

$41 trillion

40% market probability

40%
Yes 40% +60 / −40 No 60% +40 / −60

$42 trillion

4% market probability

4%
Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

Public forecast history

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