Open Economy Polymarket

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

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$11K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$11.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$11K Vol.

$40 trillion

94% market probability

94%
Yes 94% +6 / −94 No 6% +94 / −6

$41 trillion

40% market probability

40%
Yes 40% +60 / −40 No 60% +40 / −60

$42 trillion

8% market probability

8%
Yes 8% +92 / −8 No 92% +8 / −92
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