Open Economy Polymarket

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Top outcomes

GlobalFoundries 84%
D-Wave 70%
Rigetti 66%
Unusual Machines 50%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

$145K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$144.5k Vol.

All outcomes

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$145K Vol.

GlobalFoundries

84% market probability

84%

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0 / 2,000

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D-Wave

70% market probability

70%

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0 / 2,000

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Rigetti

66% market probability

66%

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Unusual Machines

50% market probability

50%

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OpenAI

28% market probability

28%

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Lockheed Martin

20% market probability

20%

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0 / 2,000

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Boeing

19% market probability

19%

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0 / 2,000

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Micron

16% market probability

16%

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TSMC

16% market probability

16%

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Anthropic

15% market probability

15%

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0 / 2,000

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IonQ

13% market probability

13%

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0 / 2,000

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Anduril

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Eli Lilly

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Pfizer

11% market probability

11%

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0 / 2,000

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TikTok US / Bytedance

11% market probability

11%

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0 / 2,000

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Nvidia

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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SpaceX

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Palantir

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Freeport-McMoRan

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Samsung Electronics

9% market probability

9%

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0 / 2,000

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