Open Economy Polymarket

May Inflation US - Monthly

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

$39K Vol. Closes Jun 10, 2026

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$38.7k Vol.

All outcomes

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$39K Vol.

0.5%

48% market probability

48%
Yes 48% +52 / −48 No 52% +48 / −52

0.6%

23% market probability

23%
Yes 23% +77 / −23 No 77% +23 / −77

0.4%

21% market probability

21%
Yes 21% +79 / −21 No 79% +21 / −79

0.7%

4% market probability

4%
Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

0.3%

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

0.2%

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

0.8%

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

≤0.1%

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

≥0.9%

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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