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Forecasts closed Economy Polymarket

Fed rate cut by...?

Top outcomes

December Meeting 20%

October Meeting 12%

September Meeting 3%

July Meeting 1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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$2.8M Vol. Closed Jun 17, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$2.8m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$2.8M Vol.

December Meeting

20% market probability

20%

Yes 20% +80 / −20 No 80% +20 / −80

October Meeting

12% market probability

12%

Yes 12% +88 / −12 No 88% +12 / −88

September Meeting

3% market probability

Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

July Meeting

1% market probability

Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

June Meeting

0% market probability

Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

April Meeting

0% market probability

Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

March Meeting

0% market probability

Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

January Meeting

0% market probability

Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

Public forecast history

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TheBagHodler 💎 · 3 weeks, 6 days ago Verified record

Forecast No October Meeting · Polymarket 80% · +20/−80

Con esta inestabilidad politica y el mercado en ATH no van a recortar la tasa.

Exited forecast, +10 reputation realized

Exited

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