Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? California Governor Election Winner New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? California Governor Election Winner New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year
Open Economy Polymarket

Fed rate cut by...?

Top outcomes

December Meeting 10%
October Meeting 4%
September Meeting 1%
July Meeting 0%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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$3.3M Vol. Closes Jan 8, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$3.3m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$3.3M Vol.

December Meeting

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on December Meeting Explain your No on December Meeting (optional)

0 / 2,000

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October Meeting

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on October Meeting Explain your No on October Meeting (optional)

0 / 2,000

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September Meeting

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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July Meeting

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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June Meeting

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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April Meeting

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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March Meeting

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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January Meeting

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

TheBagHodler 💎 · Verified record
Forecast No October Meeting · Polymarket 80% · +20/−80

Con esta inestabilidad politica y el mercado en ATH no van a recortar la tasa.

Exited forecast, +10 reputation realized

Exited

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