Crude Oil all time high by...? US military action against Cuba by...? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? LALIGA: 2027 Champion Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Fed Decision in October? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Fed rate cut by...? Trump out as President before 2027? Epstein client list released by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? NBA: 2027 Champion Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
Crude Oil all time high by...? US military action against Cuba by...? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? LALIGA: 2027 Champion Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Fed Decision in October? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Fed rate cut by...? Trump out as President before 2027? Epstein client list released by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? NBA: 2027 Champion Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
Open Economy Polymarket

Fed rate cut by...?

Top outcomes

July 2027 Meeting 51%
June 2027 Meeting 36%
April 2027 Meeting 33%
March 2027 Meeting 14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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$3.8M Vol. Closes Aug 8, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$3.8m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$3.8M Vol.

July 2027 Meeting

51% market probability

51%

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0 / 2,000

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June 2027 Meeting

36% market probability

36%

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0 / 2,000

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April 2027 Meeting

33% market probability

33%

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0 / 2,000

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March 2027 Meeting

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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January 2027 Meeting

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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December 2026 Meeting

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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October 2026 Meeting

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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July Meeting

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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June Meeting

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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April Meeting

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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March Meeting

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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January Meeting

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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September 2026 Meeting

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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TheBagHodler 💎 · Verified record
Forecast No October Meeting · Polymarket 80% · +20/−80

Con esta inestabilidad politica y el mercado en ATH no van a recortar la tasa.

Exited forecast, +10 reputation realized

Exited

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