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Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

$19K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$19.0k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$19K Vol.

$7.000+

76% market probability

76%
Yes 76% +24 / −76 No 24% +76 / −24

$8.000+

52% market probability

52%
Yes 52% +48 / −52 No 48% +52 / −48

$9.000+

49% market probability

49%
Yes 49% +51 / −49 No 51% +49 / −51

$10.000+

26% market probability

26%
Yes 26% +74 / −26 No 74% +26 / −74
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