Open
Economy
Polymarket
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Top outcomes
Tim Cook - Apple
100%
Andy Jassy - Amazon
14%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
8%
Sam Altman - OpenAI
8%
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
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$702K Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$701.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$702K Vol.
Tim Cook - Apple
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Andy Jassy - Amazon
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on Andy Jassy - Amazon
Explain your No on Andy Jassy - Amazon
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dan Clancy - Twitch
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Dan Clancy - Twitch
Explain your No on Dan Clancy - Twitch
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sam Altman - OpenAI
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Sam Altman - OpenAI
Explain your No on Sam Altman - OpenAI
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
Explain your No on Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sundar Pichai - Google
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Sundar Pichai - Google
Explain your No on Sundar Pichai - Google
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
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